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Intrinsic Value of National Presto Industries, Inc. (NPK)

Previous Close$103.03
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$103.03

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

National Presto Industries, Inc. operates as a diversified manufacturer with a focus on household appliances, defense products, and absorbent products. The company generates revenue through three primary segments: Housewares/Small Appliance, Defense, and Absorbent Products. Its housewares segment includes pressure cookers, skillets, and other kitchen appliances, while the defense segment manufactures ammunition and ordnance for military and law enforcement. The absorbent products segment produces disposable diapers and training pants. NPK maintains a niche market position, leveraging its long-standing reputation for quality and reliability in both consumer and defense markets. The company’s diversified portfolio mitigates sector-specific risks, though its smaller scale limits direct competition with industry giants. NPK’s defense contracts provide stable revenue streams, while its consumer products cater to a loyal but relatively narrow customer base. This balanced approach allows the company to navigate cyclical demand fluctuations while maintaining profitability.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, National Presto Industries reported revenue of $388.2 million and net income of $41.5 million, yielding a diluted EPS of $5.82. Operating cash flow was negative at -$53.4 million, likely due to working capital adjustments or timing differences, while capital expenditures totaled -$7.5 million. The company’s profitability metrics suggest efficient cost management, though the negative operating cash flow warrants further scrutiny into underlying drivers.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

NPK’s earnings power is underscored by its ability to generate consistent net income despite operating in competitive and cyclical markets. The company’s capital efficiency appears moderate, with capital expenditures representing a small fraction of revenue. However, the negative operating cash flow raises questions about short-term liquidity management and the sustainability of earnings conversion into cash.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company’s balance sheet reflects $17.7 million in cash and equivalents against $10.0 million in total debt, indicating a conservative leverage profile. With 7.1 million shares outstanding, NPK maintains a solid equity base. The low debt-to-equity ratio suggests financial flexibility, though the negative operating cash flow could pressure liquidity if sustained over multiple periods.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

NPK’s growth trends are modest, with its diversified segments providing stability rather than rapid expansion. The company pays a dividend of $1.00 per share, signaling a commitment to shareholder returns. However, the lack of significant revenue growth or aggressive reinvestment suggests a focus on steady, incremental performance rather than transformative expansion.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The company’s valuation metrics are not provided, but its stable earnings and niche market positioning likely support a reasonable multiple. Market expectations may be tempered by the negative operating cash flow and limited growth prospects, though the dividend yield could appeal to income-focused investors.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

NPK’s strategic advantages lie in its diversified revenue streams and established market niches. The outlook remains stable, with defense contracts providing a reliable backbone and consumer products offering incremental growth. However, the company must address cash flow challenges to sustain long-term financial health. Its ability to innovate within its segments will be critical to maintaining competitiveness.

Sources

10-K filing, company financial statements

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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