investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueNorish Plc (NSH.L)

Previous Close£175.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
£175.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2020 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Norish Plc operates in the temperature-controlled warehousing and logistics sector, serving food manufacturers, importers, wholesalers, and retailers in the UK. The company’s core revenue model is built on providing specialized cold storage, blast freezing, and distribution services, alongside a product sourcing business that supplies raw and cooked meat products. Its diversified operations also include dairy farming and commodity trading, positioning it as a niche player in the UK’s food supply chain. Norish’s market position is reinforced by its integrated logistics solutions, which cater to the stringent requirements of perishable goods. While it operates in a competitive industry dominated by larger logistics firms, its focus on temperature-controlled services and regional expertise in Northern Ireland provides a defensible niche. The company’s ability to offer end-to-end solutions—from storage to distribution—adds value for clients reliant on efficient cold chain management.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Norish reported revenue of £33.4 million in FY 2020, with net income of £1.5 million, reflecting modest profitability. Operating cash flow stood at £3.2 million, though capital expenditures of £2.5 million indicate ongoing investments in infrastructure. The company’s diluted EPS of 5.02p suggests stable earnings, albeit at a smaller scale compared to larger peers in the logistics sector.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is supported by its diversified segments, with temperature-controlled warehousing likely contributing the bulk of stable cash flows. Capital efficiency appears balanced, with capex nearly offsetting operating cash flow, suggesting reinvestment needs to maintain service quality. The modest net income margin of 4.5% highlights the competitive nature of the industry.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Norish’s balance sheet shows £1.6 million in cash against £10.3 million in total debt, indicating moderate leverage. The debt level is manageable given the company’s cash flow generation, but it leaves limited room for aggressive expansion. The absence of a reported market cap suggests the stock may be thinly traded, potentially impacting liquidity.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth appears incremental, with revenue stability but no clear breakout trajectory. The dividend per share of 4.62p signals a shareholder-friendly policy, though sustainability depends on consistent cash flow. The lack of significant top-line growth suggests Norish is prioritizing steady operations over rapid expansion.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Given the absence of a reported market cap and low beta (0.19), Norish is likely a small-cap stock with limited market attention. The valuation may reflect its niche positioning and modest earnings, though the dividend yield could appeal to income-focused investors in a low-interest environment.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Norish’s strategic advantage lies in its specialized cold chain services, which are critical for food logistics. The outlook depends on maintaining operational efficiency and potentially expanding its customer base in a post-Brexit UK market. However, competition and capex demands could constrain margins unless the company scales its higher-margin segments.

Sources

Company description, financial data from disclosed filings (likely annual report), and market data from exchange sources.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount