investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Old Republic International Corporation (ORI)

Previous Close$36.60
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$36.60

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Old Republic International Corporation operates as a diversified insurance holding company, primarily engaged in property and casualty (P&C) insurance, title insurance, and life and health insurance. The company generates revenue through underwriting premiums across its three core segments, with P&C insurance contributing the largest share. Old Republic serves a broad clientele, including individuals, businesses, and institutions, leveraging its long-standing reputation for stability and reliability in the insurance sector. The company maintains a competitive position through disciplined underwriting practices and a focus on niche markets, such as commercial auto and workers' compensation. Its title insurance segment benefits from a steady demand tied to real estate transactions, while the life and health division provides annuity and supplemental health products. Old Republic's conservative risk management approach and decentralized operating model enhance its resilience in cyclical markets. The company's market positioning is further strengthened by its ability to adapt to regulatory changes and maintain strong relationships with independent agents and brokers.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Old Republic reported revenue of $8.23 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $852.7 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 10.4%. Diluted EPS stood at $3.24, demonstrating solid profitability. Operating cash flow was $1.23 billion, indicating efficient cash generation from core operations. The absence of capital expenditures suggests a capital-light business model, typical for insurance firms relying on underwriting and investment income.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's earnings power is underpinned by its diversified insurance portfolio and disciplined underwriting, which mitigates volatility in any single segment. With no reported capital expenditures, Old Republic allocates capital primarily to underwriting activities and investments, maintaining a lean operational structure. The robust operating cash flow highlights efficient capital deployment, supporting both growth initiatives and shareholder returns.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Old Republic's balance sheet reflects financial stability, with $201.9 million in cash and equivalents and total debt of $1.59 billion. The debt level appears manageable relative to its cash flow and equity base. The company's conservative leverage and strong liquidity position it well to withstand underwriting cycles and regulatory shifts, ensuring long-term solvency and flexibility.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth trends are steady, driven by organic premium growth and prudent underwriting. The company has a consistent dividend policy, with a dividend per share of $3.085, appealing to income-focused investors. While growth may be moderate, the focus on profitability and capital preservation aligns with its conservative financial strategy.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market likely values Old Republic for its stability and dividend yield, with a P/E ratio derived from its $3.24 EPS. Investors may prioritize its defensive characteristics and consistent performance over high-growth potential, reflecting a preference for reliable cash flows in the insurance sector.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Old Republic's strategic advantages include its diversified insurance portfolio, conservative underwriting, and decentralized operations. The outlook remains positive, supported by steady demand for insurance products and the company's ability to navigate market cycles. Long-term success will depend on maintaining underwriting discipline and adapting to evolving regulatory and competitive landscapes.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount