investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW)

Previous Close$201.82
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$201.82

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Palo Alto Networks, Inc. is a global leader in cybersecurity, providing advanced threat prevention, detection, and response solutions. The company operates primarily in the enterprise security market, offering a comprehensive portfolio of cloud-based and on-premises security platforms. Its core products include next-generation firewalls, cloud security, endpoint protection, and security orchestration solutions, which cater to organizations across industries such as finance, healthcare, and government. The company’s revenue model is subscription-based, with recurring revenue streams from software licenses, support services, and cloud subscriptions. Palo Alto Networks has established itself as a market leader by leveraging its AI-driven security platforms and integrated ecosystem, which differentiate it from competitors. The company’s focus on innovation and strategic acquisitions has strengthened its position in the rapidly evolving cybersecurity landscape, where demand for robust security solutions continues to grow due to increasing cyber threats and regulatory requirements.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Palo Alto Networks reported revenue of $8.03 billion for FY 2024, reflecting strong demand for its cybersecurity solutions. The company achieved a net income of $2.58 billion, with diluted EPS of $3.64, demonstrating improved profitability. Operating cash flow stood at $3.26 billion, supported by high-margin subscription revenues and efficient cost management. Capital expenditures were modest at $156.8 million, indicating a capital-light business model.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is underscored by its ability to convert revenue into robust cash flows, with operating cash flow representing 40.6% of revenue. Palo Alto Networks maintains a disciplined approach to capital allocation, reinvesting in R&D and strategic acquisitions to drive growth. Its capital efficiency is evident in its ability to scale profitability while maintaining a lean operational structure.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Palo Alto Networks has a solid balance sheet, with $1.54 billion in cash and equivalents and $1.41 billion in total debt, reflecting a manageable leverage position. The company’s strong cash flow generation provides flexibility for strategic investments and debt repayment. Its financial health is further supported by a growing recurring revenue base, which enhances stability and predictability.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, driven by increasing adoption of its cloud and subscription-based offerings. Palo Alto Networks does not currently pay dividends, opting instead to reinvest cash flows into growth initiatives, including product innovation and market expansion. This aligns with its strategy to capitalize on the expanding cybersecurity market and maintain its competitive edge.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Palo Alto Networks is valued at a premium relative to peers, reflecting its leadership position and growth prospects in the cybersecurity sector. Market expectations are high, with investors anticipating continued revenue growth and margin expansion as the company scales its subscription-based model and leverages its technological advantages.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Palo Alto Networks benefits from its first-mover advantage in next-generation security solutions, strong brand recognition, and a loyal customer base. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing complexity of cyber threats and the shift toward cloud-based security. Its outlook remains positive, supported by ongoing innovation and a robust pipeline of demand for integrated security platforms.

Sources

10-K, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount