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Intrinsic Value of Paramount Global (PARA)

Previous Close$12.90
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$12.90

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Paramount Global operates as a diversified media and entertainment conglomerate, generating revenue through content production, distribution, and advertising across linear TV, streaming, and theatrical platforms. The company owns iconic brands such as CBS, Paramount Pictures, Nickelodeon, and Showtime, positioning it as a key player in both traditional and digital media. Its dual revenue model combines subscription fees from Paramount+ and Pluto TV with advertising sales, though it faces intense competition from tech-driven streaming giants and legacy studios. Paramount’s market position is challenged by shifting consumer preferences toward on-demand content, but its extensive library and cross-platform integration provide a competitive edge in niche segments like children’s programming and premium dramas. The company’s ability to monetize its intellectual property through licensing and theatrical releases further diversifies its income streams, though linear TV declines remain a structural headwind.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Paramount reported $29.2 billion in revenue for the period, but profitability was strained, with a net loss of $6.2 billion and diluted EPS of -$9.30. Operating cash flow of $752 million suggests some operational resilience, though capital expenditures of $263 million reflect ongoing investments in streaming and content. The negative earnings highlight challenges in balancing legacy TV declines with growth in digital platforms.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is constrained by high content costs and streaming investments, as evidenced by the significant net loss. Capital efficiency remains under pressure, with free cash flow likely negative after accounting for capex. Paramount’s ability to scale Paramount+ profitably will be critical to improving returns, but subscriber acquisition costs and competition may delay breakeven.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Paramount’s balance sheet shows $2.7 billion in cash against $15.5 billion in total debt, indicating elevated leverage. The debt load could limit flexibility amid cyclical advertising downturns and streaming losses. While liquidity appears manageable, sustained losses may necessitate asset sales or further cost-cutting to maintain financial stability.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is bifurcated, with streaming revenue rising but linear TV eroding. The dividend of $0.25 per share signals a commitment to shareholders, but payout sustainability depends on improving cash flow. Strategic pivots, such as bundling Paramount+ with Showtime, aim to stabilize churn, but subscriber growth must accelerate to offset legacy declines.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market likely discounts Paramount for its cyclical exposure and streaming profitability risks. Valuation metrics reflect skepticism about near-term earnings recovery, though asset sales or consolidation rumors could provide upside. Investors await clearer signs of streaming margin improvement before rerating the stock.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Paramount’s deep content library and cross-platform distribution offer strategic advantages, but execution risks persist. The outlook hinges on streaming monetization and cost discipline. Success in bundling or partnerships could improve competitiveness, while prolonged losses may force more aggressive restructuring.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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