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Intrinsic ValueParagon ID S.A. (PID.PA)

Previous Close38.06
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
38.06

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2023 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Paragon ID SA operates in the identification solutions sector, specializing in secure and intelligent document technologies. The company serves diverse industries, including automotive, aviation, logistics, and retail, with products like RFID tags, smart cards, and eTrust solutions. Its revenue model is driven by high-value, specialized identification systems that cater to security-sensitive applications, positioning it as a niche player in the broader semiconductor and technology landscape. Paragon ID leverages its expertise in RFID and contactless technologies to address growing demand for traceability and anti-counterfeiting measures, particularly in luxury goods, pharmaceuticals, and transport. The company’s subsidiary relationship with Paragon Group Limited provides strategic backing, though it competes with larger global players in a fragmented market. Its focus on customization and secure applications allows it to maintain relevance in sectors where regulatory and brand protection requirements are stringent.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Paragon ID reported revenue of €191.9 million for FY 2023, with net income of €142,000, reflecting tight margins in a competitive industry. Operating cash flow stood at €11.9 million, though capital expenditures of €11.5 million indicate ongoing investment in technology and infrastructure. The modest net income suggests operational challenges in scaling profitability despite steady revenue generation.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s diluted EPS of €0.0714 underscores limited earnings power relative to its market cap. With capital expenditures nearly matching operating cash flow, Paragon ID’s ability to generate free cash flow is constrained, highlighting inefficiencies in capital deployment. Its beta of 1.31 indicates higher volatility compared to the broader market, reflecting sector-specific risks.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Paragon ID’s balance sheet shows €6.3 million in cash against total debt of €77.3 million, signaling leveraged financial positioning. The debt-heavy structure may pressure liquidity, though its subsidiary backing could provide stability. The absence of dividends aligns with its focus on reinvestment and debt management.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue trends suggest stable demand for its identification solutions, but growth appears muted given minimal net income. The company does not pay dividends, prioritizing operational reinvestment. Expansion opportunities lie in RFID adoption across industries, though execution risks remain.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of €75.4 million, the company trades at a low revenue multiple, reflecting skepticism about its profitability trajectory. Investors likely await clearer signs of margin improvement or strategic shifts to justify higher valuations.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Paragon ID’s niche expertise in secure identification offers differentiation, but scalability is a challenge. Partnerships or technological breakthroughs in RFID applications could drive future growth, though macroeconomic and competitive pressures persist.

Sources

Company filings, Euronext Paris disclosures

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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