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Intrinsic ValueParkland Corporation (PKI.TO)

Previous Close$38.83
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$38.83

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Parkland Corporation is a diversified energy provider operating across Canada, the U.S., and international markets, with a strong focus on retail fuel distribution, convenience stores, and commercial energy solutions. The company’s vertically integrated model spans fuel refining, wholesale supply, and retail distribution, supported by a network of over 1,800 retail sites under brands like Ultramar, Esso, and Chevron. Its Supply segment enhances margins by optimizing fuel production and logistics, while the International segment leverages strategic partnerships in the Caribbean and Latin America. Parkland differentiates itself through its multi-brand strategy, renewable energy initiatives, and a growing convenience retail footprint under the On the Run banner. The company’s ability to serve both retail consumers and industrial clients positions it as a resilient player in the energy sector, balancing cyclical fuel demand with stable commercial and renewable revenue streams.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Parkland reported FY revenue of CAD 28.3 billion, reflecting its scale in fuel distribution and retail operations. Net income stood at CAD 127 million, with diluted EPS of CAD 0.72, indicating moderate profitability amid volatile energy markets. Operating cash flow of CAD 1.54 billion underscores robust cash generation, though capital expenditures of CAD 575 million highlight ongoing investments in infrastructure and renewable energy projects.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings are driven by its diversified revenue streams, including high-margin convenience retail and commercial fuel services. Parkland’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to maintain steady cash flow despite cyclical fuel price fluctuations, supported by operational synergies across its supply chain and retail networks.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Parkland’s balance sheet shows CAD 385 million in cash against total debt of CAD 6.64 billion, reflecting leverage typical for the capital-intensive energy sector. The debt load is manageable given its stable cash flow, but investors should monitor refinancing risks in a rising rate environment.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Parkland has pursued growth via acquisitions and organic expansion, particularly in renewable energy and convenience retail. Its dividend of CAD 1.41 per share offers a yield attractive to income investors, though payout sustainability depends on maintaining cash flow amid energy market volatility.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of CAD 6.68 billion and a beta of 0.72, Parkland trades at a discount to pure-play refiners, reflecting its hybrid retail-energy profile. Investors likely price in moderate growth, balancing its stable cash flow against exposure to fuel price swings.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Parkland’s integrated model and geographic diversification provide resilience against regional demand shocks. Its focus on renewables and convenience retail aligns with long-term energy transition trends, though near-term performance will hinge on fuel margins and execution of growth initiatives.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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