US · PSX
Phillips 66
- Sector
- Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
- Headquarters
- Houston, TX 77042
- Website
- phillips66.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$176.19
Market cap 62.18B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $114.86 | -34.81% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $64.07 | -63.64% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $51.34 | -70.86% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $9.34 | -94.7% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $0.00 | $303.30 | |||
| 2012 | $42.05 | $50.04 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2013 | $50.80 | $30.49 | $0.00 | $41.41 | $20.35 |
| 2014 | $49.82 | $31.04 | $0.00 | $46.29 | $7.24 |
| 2015 | $59.28 | $46.28 | $0.00 | $43.11 | $0.00 |
| 2016 | $55.83 | $25.48 | $0.00 | $14.53 | $0.00 |
| 2017 | $70.13 | $39.62 | $0.05 | $51.29 | $323.33 |
| 2018 | $71.08 | $63.07 | $2,918.66 | $59.10 | $371.78 |
| 2019 | $54.20 | $51.44 | $1,889.04 | $29.84 | $33.24 |
| 2020 | $73.15 | $29.26 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $279.98 |
| 2021 | $69.75 | $29.42 | $5,756.28 | $1.09 | $240.97 |
| 2022 | $90.98 | $106.85 | $50,780.14 | $119.27 | $1,353.04 |
| 2023 | $139.24 | $115.08 | $22,517.04 | $79.58 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $121.71 | $80.12 | $1,571.57 | $19.49 | $27.47 |
| 2025 | $160.18 | $114.86 | $0.00 | $51.34 | $9.34 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Phillips 66's (PSX) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $114.86
- Current price
- $176.19
- AI upside
- -34.81%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$64.07
-63.64% upside
Graham-Dodd
$51.34
-70.86% upside
Graham Formula
$9.34
-94.7% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | $176.19 | 62.18B | -35% | -64% | -71% | -95% | 14.36 | 2.24 | 0.49 | 8.90 | 12.36 | 2.44 | 4.96% | 2.52% | 3.33% | 16.03% | 5.77% | 6.19% | 0.79 | 3.21 | 1.30 | 0.82 | 2.23 | 11623.00% | -751.00% | 1702.00% | 4.20% | 0.37 | 5.65% | 2.96% | 42.40% | 4.81% | 26.03 | 31.81 | 0.66 | 3.54 |
| E | Eni S.p.A. | $46.94 | 69.86B | -54% | -67% | -78% | -88% | 15.36 | 0.77 | 0.46 | 2.63 | — | 0.87 | 11.36% | 5.90% | 2.96% | 4.98% | 3.14% | 1.82% | 0.66 | 3.93 | 1.14 | 0.71 | 1.16 | -4143.00% | -525.00% | -1374.00% | 12.55% | 0.34 | 7.16% | 7.90% | 121.40% | 12.86% | 11.56 | 11.89 | 0.68 | 1.37 |
| EOG | EOG Resources, Inc. | $124.08 | 67.33B | +9% | -30% | -67% | -64% | 13.93 | 2.33 | 3.07 | 6.58 | — | 2.33 | 68.11% | 35.14% | 22.07% | 16.83% | 20.04% | 10.06% | 0.28 | 36.05 | 1.92 | 1.64 | 0.44 | -1902.00% | -347.00% | -3192.00% | 5.66% | 2.71 | 12.64% | 3.12% | 43.40% | 6.81% | 9.38 | 18.93 | 3.30 | 3.72 |
| ET | Energy Transfer LP | $18.84 | 64.82B | -27% | -6% | — | -42% | 12.21 | 2.03 | 0.84 | 9.38 | 223.33 | 3.25 | 21.79% | 11.42% | 5.93% | 16.43% | 9.11% | 4.27% | 2.08 | 2.84 | 1.22 | 0.85 | 4.71 | 547.00% | -5.00% | -4762.00% | 5.52% | 0.68 | 3.85% | 6.78% | 82.80% | 6.78% | 14.83 | 36.40 | 1.69 | 1.28 |
| KMI | Kinder Morgan, Inc. | $33.27 | 74.02B | -10% | -57% | — | -17% | 24.80 | 2.42 | 4.45 | 14.40 | 145.11 | 8.07 | 43.66% | 28.39% | 18.03% | 9.86% | 6.04% | 4.17% | 1.04 | 2.67 | 0.64 | 0.42 | 4.32 | 1709.00% | 1245.00% | 715.00% | 4.27% | 1.45 | 5.10% | 3.45% | 85.70% | 3.45% | 22.38 | 33.43 | 6.35 | 1.30 |
| MPC | Marathon Petroleum Corpor… | $198.21 | 59.58B | -14% | -58% | -53% | -75% | 15.81 | 3.70 | 0.48 | 8.20 | 50.17 | 12.20 | 7.43% | 4.90% | 3.05% | 23.09% | 11.92% | 4.97% | 1.98 | 5.09 | 1.26 | 0.19 | 2.66 | 3152.00% | -455.00% | -2226.00% | 7.45% | 0.42 | 10.44% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 14.58 | 19.86 | 0.71 | 3.21 |
| MPLX | MPLX Lp | $58.94 | 59.95B | +18% | -44% | -50% | +32% | 12.27 | 4.15 | 5.10 | 11.52 | 84.67 | 13.78 | 45.23% | 40.30% | 41.57% | 34.71% | 13.21% | 12.20% | 1.78 | 4.84 | 1.23 | 0.66 | 3.26 | 1449.00% | 837.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 1.82 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17.65 | — | 7.11 | 1.93 |
| SLB | SLB N.V. | $51.34 | 76.77B | -18% | -55% | -97% | -71% | 22.35 | 2.89 | 2.11 | 11.69 | — | 17.43 | 18.21% | 15.28% | 9.38% | 14.28% | 14.08% | 6.50% | 0.47 | 9.80 | 1.33 | 0.88 | 1.30 | -2444.00% | -160.00% | 720.00% | 6.36% | 0.44 | 15.29% | 2.12% | 47.50% | 5.32% | 15.31 | 17.42 | 2.34 | 3.19 |
| SU | Suncor Energy Inc. | $56.52 | 68.36B | -7% | -31% | -70% | -71% | 16.64 | 2.18 | 2.01 | 6.99 | 604.26 | 2.36 | 59.08% | 31.67% | 12.10% | 13.20% | 19.97% | 6.58% | 0.41 | 20.86 | 1.39 | 0.89 | 0.91 | 275.00% | -351.00% | -2699.00% | 7.03% | 1.25 | 11.98% | 2.85% | 47.50% | 6.03% | 7.30 | 16.35 | 2.31 | 2.85 |
| TRP | TC Energy Corporation | $64.37 | 67B | -7% | -60% | — | -33% | 25.37 | 3.47 | 6.23 | 16.37 | — | 6.67 | 50.03% | 44.23% | 23.15% | 13.59% | 6.09% | 3.15% | 2.23 | 1.98 | 0.63 | 0.33 | 6.40 | -2619.00% | 1029.00% | 5540.00% | 2.20% | 0.74 | 2.38% | 3.83% | 97.10% | 4.09% | 23.11 | 74.67 | 10.22 | 0.90 |
| VLO | Valero Energy Corporation | $204.64 | 63.57B | -32% | -58% | -77% | -90% | 28.28 | 2.80 | 0.54 | 10.77 | — | 2.80 | 4.38% | 3.51% | 1.91% | 9.74% | 10.56% | 4.36% | 0.45 | 7.76 | 3.37 | 0.33 | 0.88 | -1177.00% | -554.00% | -1292.00% | 7.57% | 0.41 | 16.48% | 2.12% | 59.80% | 7.46% | 16.78 | 14.38 | 0.59 | 5.40 |
About Phillips 66
Phillips 66 operates as an energy manufacturing and logistics company. It operates through four segments: Midstream, Chemicals, Refining, and Marketing and Specialties (M&S). The Midstream segment transports crude oil and other feedstocks; delivers refined petroleum products to market; provides terminaling and storage services for crude oil and refined petroleum products; transports, stores, fractionates, exports, and markets natural gas liquids; provides other fee-based processing services; and gathers, processes, transports, and markets natural gas. The Chemicals segment produces and markets ethylene and other olefin products; aromatics and styrenics products, such as benzene, cyclohexane, styrene, and polystyrene; and various specialty chemical products, including organosulfur chemicals, solvents, catalysts, and chemicals used in drilling and mining. The Refining segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks into petroleum products, such as gasolines, distillates, aviation, and renewable fuels at 12 refineries in the United States and Europe. The M&S segment purchases for resale and markets refined petroleum products, including gasolines, distillates, and aviation fuels primarily in the United States and Europe. This segment also manufactures and markets specialty products, such as base oils and lubricants. The company was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
- CEO
- Mark E. Lashier
- Employees
- 13.2K
- Beta
- 0.87
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($64.07 ÷ $176.19) − 1 = -63.64% (DCF, example).