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Intrinsic Value of Repligen Corporation (RGEN)

Previous Close$133.41
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$133.41

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $Initial revenue growth rate, %Variable cost ratio, %Fixed operating exp., mln $Prod. assets / Revenue, %Working capital / Revenue, %Interest rate on debt, %Initial discount rate, %Shares outstanding, mlnAdjusted equity ratioAdjusted assets / RevenueCash & ST InvestmentsTotal debt

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of 2024-12-31.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %0.30.50.81.01.21.41.51.71.92.02.22.32.52.62.72.82.93.03.13.23.33.43.53.63.6
Revenue, $6366406456516586676786897027177327497687888098328568829109399701003103810751114
Variable operating expenses, $m5735765805865936016106206326456596746917097287497717948198458739039349681003
Fixed operating expenses, $m107116126137148161174189205223242262285309335364394428464504547593644698758
Total operating expenses, $m680692706723741762784809837868901936976101810631113116512221283134914201496157816661761
Operating income, $m-43-52-61-72-82-94-107-120-135-151-169-187-208-230-254-280-309-340-373-410-450-493-540-591-646
EBITDA, $m1-7-16-26-37-48-60-73-87-102-118-136-155-176-199-224-250-280-311-346-384-425-469-518-571
Interest expense (income), $m1707071717172727374747576777880818284858788909294
Earnings before tax, $m-44-122-132-142-153-165-178-193-208-225-243-263-284-307-333-360-390-422-457-495-536-581-630-683-740
Tax expense, $m0000000000000000000000000
Net income, $m-44-122-132-142-153-165-178-193-208-225-243-263-284-307-333-360-390-422-457-495-536-581-630-683-740

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m0000000000000000000000000
Total assets, $m2195220722242245227223032338237824232473252725852649271827912870295430443139324033483462358237093844
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m2195220722242245227223032338237824232473252725852649271827912870295430443139324033483462358237093844
Average production assets, $m1341134913591372138814071429145314811511154415801619166017051754180518601918198020462115218922672349
Working capital, $m114115115117118119121123126128131134137141145149153158163168174180186192199
Total debt, $m1751175617631771178217941809182518431862188419071933196019902021205520912129216922122258230623572411
Total liabilities, $m878883890898909921935951969989101110341060108711161148118212181256129613391385143314841538
Total equity, $m1317132413341347136313821403142714541484151615511589163116751722177218261883194420092077214922262306
Debt-to-equity ratio0.0111.3231.3161.3081.3001.2901.2791.2671.2551.2421.2281.2141.2001.1851.1711.1551.1401.1251.1101.0951.0801.0651.0511.0361.022
Adjusted equity ratio0.6000.6000.6000.6000.6000.6000.6000.6000.6000.6000.6000.6000.6000.6000.6000.6000.6000.6000.6000.6000.6000.6000.6000.6000.600

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m-44-122-132-142-153-165-178-193-208-225-243-263-284-307-333-360-390-422-457-495-536-581-630-683-740
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m45454545464647484849505153545557586062646668717376
Funds from operations, $m1-77-87-97-107-119-132-145-160-176-193-211-231-253-277-303-331-362-395-431-470-513-560-610-665
Change in working capital, $m0111122223333444455566677
Cash from operations, $m0-78-88-98-109-121-133-147-162-178-195-214-235-257-281-307-336-366-400-436-476-519-566-617-672
Maintenance CAPEX, $m-45-45-45-45-46-46-47-48-48-49-50-51-53-54-55-57-58-60-62-64-66-68-71-73-76
New CAPEX, $m-4-7-10-13-16-19-22-25-27-30-33-36-39-42-45-48-51-55-58-62-66-70-74-78-82
Total CAPEX, $m-49-52-55-58-62-65-69-72-76-80-83-87-92-96-100-105-110-115-120-126-132-138-144-151-158
Free cash flow, $m-48-130-143-156-171-186-202-219-238-258-279-302-326-353-381-412-445-481-520-562-608-657-710-767-830
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $m0137153169186204223243265287311337364394426459496535577623672725782844910
Retained Cash Flow, $m-202-7-10-13-16-19-21-24-27-30-32-35-38-41-44-47-50-54-57-61-64-68-72-76-81
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m858
Cash available for distribution, $m607000000000000000000000000
Discount rate, %4.905.155.405.675.966.256.576.897.247.607.988.388.809.249.7010.1910.7011.2311.7912.3813.0013.6514.3315.0515.80
PV of cash for distribution, $m579000000000000000000000000
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %100979491888581787470676359555248454238353229272422