investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueRoss Group Plc (RGP.L)

Previous Close£0.68
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
£0.68

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Ross Group Plc operates as a supply chain management company through its subsidiary Ross Diversified Trading Limited. Established in 1913, the company has a long-standing presence in the industrials sector, focusing on diversified trading activities. Despite its historical roots, Ross Group operates in a highly competitive and fragmented market, where scale and operational efficiency are critical to maintaining profitability. The company’s niche positioning within conglomerates suggests a reliance on specialized supply chain solutions, though its market share remains modest compared to larger peers. The lack of recent revenue generation raises questions about its current operational viability and strategic direction. Given its financial struggles, Ross Group’s ability to adapt to evolving supply chain dynamics and technological advancements will be pivotal for any potential turnaround.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Ross Group reported no revenue for FY 2022, alongside a net loss of £11.37 million, reflecting significant operational challenges. The absence of revenue suggests either dormant operations or severe business model constraints. Operating cash flow was negative £516,000, further underscoring inefficiencies. With no capital expenditures, the company appears to be in a holding pattern, lacking investment in growth or operational improvements.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s diluted EPS of -3.5 GBp highlights its inability to generate earnings, with negative profitability metrics across the board. The lack of revenue and persistent losses indicate minimal capital efficiency, raising concerns about the sustainability of its business model. Without a clear path to monetization, Ross Group’s earnings power remains severely constrained.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Ross Group’s financial health is precarious, with only £1,000 in cash and equivalents against total debt of £3.99 million. This stark imbalance suggests liquidity risks and potential solvency issues. The absence of meaningful assets or revenue streams exacerbates these challenges, leaving the company vulnerable to further financial distress without external intervention or restructuring.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company exhibits no growth trends, with zero revenue and no dividend payments, reflecting its non-operational status. The lack of capital expenditures or strategic initiatives further signals stagnation. Investors should note the absence of any dividend policy, as the company’s financial condition precludes shareholder returns in the foreseeable future.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of approximately £1.63 million and a beta of 0.065, Ross Group is a micro-cap stock with minimal market correlation. The valuation reflects its distressed financial state and operational uncertainties. Market expectations are likely muted, given the company’s lack of revenue and persistent losses, with little indication of near-term recovery.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Ross Group’s primary advantage lies in its historical legacy, though this offers little competitive edge in its current state. The outlook remains bleak unless the company secures new revenue streams or undergoes significant restructuring. Without operational revival or strategic pivots, Ross Group’s future as a going concern is highly uncertain.

Sources

Company filings, London Stock Exchange data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount