investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueRheinmetall AG (RHM.SW)

Previous CloseCHF1,690.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
CHF1,690.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Rheinmetall AG is a diversified industrial and defense technology leader, operating across five key segments: Vehicle Systems, Weapon and Ammunition, Electronic Solutions, Sensors and Actuators, and Materials and Trade. The company serves both mobility and security markets, providing advanced solutions such as armored vehicles, weapon systems, electronic defense networks, and automotive components. Rheinmetall’s defense segment benefits from rising global military spending, particularly in Europe, where geopolitical tensions have spurred demand for its combat and protection systems. In mobility, its Sensors and Actuators division supplies critical components for automotive and industrial applications, leveraging long-term relationships with OEMs. The company’s dual-sector exposure provides resilience, balancing cyclical automotive demand with stable defense contracts. Rheinmetall holds a strong competitive position due to its technological expertise, integrated supply chain, and government partnerships, making it a key player in Europe’s defense industrial base. Its focus on innovation, particularly in electrification and digital warfare, ensures relevance in evolving markets.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Rheinmetall reported EUR 9.75 billion in revenue for the period, with net income of EUR 717 million, reflecting a robust margin profile. The company’s operating cash flow of EUR 1.72 billion underscores strong operational efficiency, while capital expenditures of EUR 732 million indicate continued investment in capacity and R&D. Defense sector growth has been a key driver, offsetting softer automotive demand in some regions.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted EPS stood at EUR 17.23, demonstrating Rheinmetall’s earnings strength amid elevated defense spending. The company’s capital allocation prioritizes high-return defense projects and automotive innovation, with disciplined working capital management supporting free cash flow generation. Its ability to convert revenue into earnings is reinforced by economies of scale in defense production.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Rheinmetall maintains a solid liquidity position with EUR 1.18 billion in cash and equivalents, against total debt of EUR 2.42 billion. The balance sheet remains investment-grade, supported by predictable defense cash flows and manageable leverage. The company’s financial flexibility allows for strategic M&A and shareholder returns while funding growth initiatives.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Defense backlog growth and automotive electrification trends underpin Rheinmetall’s medium-term outlook. The company has consistently returned capital to shareholders, with a dividend of EUR 5.59 per share, reflecting a balanced approach between reinvestment and distributions. Order intake in defense remains strong, suggesting sustained revenue visibility.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of EUR 5.05 billion and a beta of 0.70, Rheinmetall trades at a discount to pure-play defense peers, likely due to its automotive exposure. Investors appear to price in stable defense growth but remain cautious on cyclical segments. The stock’s valuation reflects expectations of mid-single-digit earnings growth.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Rheinmetall’s strategic advantages include deep defense expertise, long-term contracts, and technological leadership in niche automotive components. The outlook remains positive, driven by European rearmament and incremental mobility opportunities. Risks include supply chain disruptions and geopolitical shifts, but the company’s diversified model provides resilience.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount