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Intrinsic ValuePernod Ricard S.A. (RI.SW)

Previous CloseCHF179.25
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
CHF179.25

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2025 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Pernod Ricard SA is a global leader in the wines and spirits industry, operating in the consumer defensive sector. The company boasts a diversified portfolio of premium brands, including Absolut vodka, Jameson whiskey, and Chivas Regal scotch, catering to a broad consumer base across multiple price segments. Its revenue model is driven by brand equity, geographic diversification, and a mix of owned production and third-party distribution. Pernod Ricard holds a strong market position as the second-largest spirits company worldwide, leveraging its heritage, innovation, and strategic acquisitions to maintain competitive advantage. The company operates in both mature markets, such as Europe and North America, and high-growth emerging markets, balancing stability with expansion opportunities. Its focus on premiumization and sustainability further strengthens its industry standing.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Pernod Ricard reported revenue of €11.6 billion in the latest fiscal year, with net income reaching €1.48 billion, reflecting a net margin of approximately 12.7%. The company generated €1.73 billion in operating cash flow, demonstrating robust cash conversion. Capital expenditures totaled €773 million, indicating disciplined reinvestment in production and distribution capabilities. The diluted EPS of €5.83 underscores efficient earnings distribution across its 252.6 million outstanding shares.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is supported by its premium brand portfolio and global reach, with a beta of 0.463 indicating lower volatility relative to the market. Operating cash flow covers interest and reinvestment needs comfortably, though total debt of €13.62 billion suggests leveraged growth strategies. Pernod Ricard’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to sustain profitability while funding expansion and brand development.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Pernod Ricard maintains a solid liquidity position with €2.68 billion in cash and equivalents, providing flexibility amid its €13.62 billion total debt load. The balance sheet reflects a strategic use of leverage to fuel acquisitions and market penetration, typical for the industry. The company’s financial health is stable, supported by consistent cash flow generation and a manageable debt profile.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has demonstrated steady growth, driven by premiumization trends and emerging market demand. Its dividend policy is shareholder-friendly, with a dividend per share of €4.5556, reflecting a commitment to returning capital. Future growth is expected to be supported by organic brand expansion and selective acquisitions, aligning with long-term industry trends.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of €45.23 billion, Pernod Ricard trades at a premium, reflecting its strong brand portfolio and defensive sector positioning. Investors likely anticipate sustained mid-single-digit revenue growth and margin stability, given the company’s historical performance and industry tailwinds. Valuation metrics suggest confidence in its ability to navigate macroeconomic challenges.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Pernod Ricard’s strategic advantages include its diversified brand portfolio, global distribution network, and focus on premium segments. The outlook remains positive, with growth expected in emerging markets and continued premiumization in mature markets. The company’s commitment to sustainability and innovation positions it well for long-term industry leadership, though macroeconomic volatility and regulatory changes remain key risks.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

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