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Intrinsic ValueRenault S.A. (RNO.SW)

Previous CloseCHF60.28
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
CHF60.28

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Renault SA operates as a global automotive manufacturer with a diversified portfolio spanning passenger cars, light commercial vehicles, and electric vehicles under brands such as Renault, Dacia, Alpine, and LADA. The company generates revenue through vehicle sales, financing services, and mobility solutions, positioning itself as a key player in Europe while expanding in emerging markets. Its multi-brand strategy caters to varied consumer segments, from budget-conscious buyers (Dacia) to performance-oriented enthusiasts (Alpine). Renault has aggressively invested in electrification, aiming to solidify its position in the EV market, while leveraging partnerships, notably with Nissan, to optimize R&D and production efficiency. The company also capitalizes on its financing arm to enhance customer loyalty and drive sales through tailored leasing and loan solutions. Despite intense competition from legacy automakers and new EV entrants, Renault maintains a strong foothold in Europe, supported by its extensive dealership network and after-sales services.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Renault reported EUR 56.2 billion in revenue for the period, with net income of EUR 752 million, reflecting a recovery trajectory amid industry challenges. Operating cash flow stood at EUR 7.2 billion, supported by disciplined cost management and working capital optimization. Capital expenditures of EUR 3.1 billion indicate continued investment in electrification and technological advancements, though margins remain pressured by raw material costs and supply chain disruptions.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s diluted EPS of EUR 2.72 underscores its earnings resilience despite macroeconomic headwinds. Renault’s capital allocation prioritizes R&D and EV transition, while its financing segment contributes stable income streams. However, a beta of 1.7 reflects higher volatility relative to the market, influenced by cyclical demand and competitive pressures in the auto sector.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Renault maintains a robust liquidity position with EUR 22.5 billion in cash and equivalents, against total debt of EUR 9.6 billion. The strong cash reserve provides flexibility for strategic investments and debt management, though leverage remains a focus area. The balance sheet benefits from diversified revenue streams, including financing operations, which mitigate cyclical risks inherent in automotive manufacturing.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Renault’s growth strategy emphasizes electrification, with plans to expand its EV lineup and enhance software-defined vehicle capabilities. The company paid a dividend of EUR 1.83 per share, signaling confidence in cash flow stability. While near-term growth may be tempered by economic uncertainty, long-term prospects hinge on successful EV adoption and cost-efficient platform sharing with alliance partners.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of EUR 13.3 billion, Renault trades at a discount to some peers, reflecting investor caution over execution risks in its EV transition. Market expectations are balanced between optimism for its electrification roadmap and concerns over margin sustainability in a competitive landscape.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Renault’s strategic advantages include its strong European brand equity, alliance synergies with Nissan, and early-mover positioning in affordable EVs. The outlook hinges on executing its Renaulution plan, which targets higher profitability through cost cuts and premium segment growth. Challenges include navigating supply chain bottlenecks and intensifying EV competition, but successful execution could drive re-rating potential.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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