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Intrinsic ValueAtrato Onsite Energy plc (ROOF.L)

Previous Close£76.40
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
£76.40

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2023 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Atrato Onsite Energy plc operates in the asset management sector, specializing in investments in onsite renewable energy assets. The company focuses on generating stable, long-term returns by financing and owning distributed energy projects, primarily solar and battery storage systems, across the UK. Its business model capitalizes on the growing demand for decentralized renewable energy solutions, driven by corporate sustainability goals and regulatory support for clean energy. Atrato differentiates itself through a diversified portfolio that mitigates project-specific risks while benefiting from predictable cash flows underpinned by power purchase agreements (PPAs). The firm’s early-mover advantage in the UK’s onsite renewables space positions it as a niche player, though competition is intensifying as institutional investors increasingly target the sector. Its relatively small scale compared to broader renewable energy funds may limit bargaining power but allows for agile deployment in underserved markets.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY2023, Atrato reported revenue of £8.99 million (GBp) and net income of £6.43 million (GBp), reflecting a robust margin. The absence of capital expenditures suggests a focus on operational assets rather than expansion, while negative operating cash flow (£2.36 million) may indicate reinvestment or timing disparities in cash collection. The lack of debt signals a conservative financial approach.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted EPS stood at 4.29 pence, supported by efficient capital allocation to income-generating assets. The dividend payout of 6.09 pence per share implies a yield-focused strategy, though sustainability depends on consistent cash flows from PPAs. The negative beta (-0.24) suggests low correlation with broader markets, typical of infrastructure-focused funds.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet remains strong, with £37.87 million (GBp) in cash and no debt, providing flexibility for future investments. The equity-heavy structure aligns with the long-term nature of renewable energy assets, though unutilized leverage may limit returns in a low-interest environment.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth hinges on expanding its portfolio of onsite projects, leveraging UK energy policy tailwinds. The dividend policy appears generous relative to earnings, potentially targeting income-seeking investors. Future payouts will depend on asset performance and reinvestment needs.

Valuation And Market Expectations

At a market cap of ~£114.9 million, the valuation reflects investor appetite for renewable energy exposure. The negative beta and dividend yield may appeal to defensive portfolios, though the nascent stage of the company warrants scrutiny of execution risks.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Atrato’s focus on decentralized renewables aligns with energy transition trends, but scalability remains a challenge. Its debt-free stance and operational assets provide stability, but competition and regulatory shifts could pressure margins. Success will depend on securing high-quality PPAs and disciplined capital recycling.

Sources

Company filings, London Stock Exchange data

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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