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Intrinsic ValueK+S AG (SDF.SW)

Previous CloseCHF18.20
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
CHF18.20

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2023 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

K+S AG is a leading global supplier of mineral products, operating in the specialty chemicals sector with a focus on agricultural and industrial applications. The company’s Agriculture segment provides potassium chloride and specialized fertilizers under well-known brands like KALISOP and PATENTKALI, catering to diverse crops such as cereals, corn, and citrus fruits. Its Industry+ segment delivers potash, magnesium, and salt products for industrial use, marketed under brands like APISAL and NUTRIKS. K+S serves a broad customer base across agricultural, industrial, and consumer markets, leveraging its extensive product portfolio and long-standing expertise. The company holds a strong position in the European market while maintaining a global footprint, supported by its vertically integrated operations and efficient distribution network. Competitive advantages include its diversified product offerings, brand recognition, and strategic focus on sustainability, particularly in precision agriculture and resource-efficient production methods.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2023, K+S reported revenue of CHF 3.87 billion, with net income of CHF 210.2 million, reflecting a diluted EPS of CHF 1.12. Operating cash flow stood at CHF 821 million, demonstrating robust cash generation capabilities. Capital expenditures totaled CHF 482.2 million, indicating ongoing investments in operational efficiency and capacity expansion. The company’s ability to maintain profitability amid fluctuating commodity prices underscores its resilient business model.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

K+S exhibits solid earnings power, supported by stable demand for its agricultural and industrial mineral products. The company’s capital efficiency is evident in its disciplined investment approach, balancing growth initiatives with shareholder returns. Operating cash flow coverage of capital expenditures highlights prudent financial management, ensuring sustainable reinvestment while maintaining liquidity.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

K+S maintains a balanced financial position, with CHF 152.2 million in cash and equivalents and total debt of CHF 486.3 million as of FY 2023. The manageable debt level and strong cash flow generation provide flexibility for strategic initiatives and dividend payments. The company’s leverage ratio remains within acceptable limits, reflecting a conservative capital structure.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

K+S has demonstrated consistent growth in its core markets, driven by demand for high-quality mineral products. The company paid a dividend of CHF 0.69 per share in FY 2023, aligning with its commitment to returning capital to shareholders. Future growth is expected to be supported by agricultural productivity trends and industrial applications, though commodity price volatility remains a key risk.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of CHF 2.16 billion and a beta of 0.838, K+S is viewed as a relatively stable investment within the specialty chemicals sector. The company’s valuation reflects its niche market positioning and earnings stability, though investor sentiment may be influenced by broader agricultural and industrial economic cycles.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

K+S benefits from its diversified product portfolio, strong brand equity, and focus on sustainable practices. The outlook remains positive, supported by global demand for agricultural inputs and industrial minerals. Strategic priorities include optimizing production efficiency and expanding into high-growth markets, positioning the company for long-term value creation.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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