investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueSES S.A. (SESG.PA)

Previous Close6.92
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
6.92

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

SES S.A. operates as a global leader in satellite and ground infrastructure solutions, serving diverse industries such as aviation, maritime, government, and telecommunications. The company generates revenue through its multi-orbit satellite network, offering data connectivity and video services, including direct-to-home broadcasting, content distribution, and ad insertion. SES leverages its GEO and MEO satellite constellations to deliver high-performance connectivity, positioning itself as a critical enabler for media, enterprise, and government communications. The company’s hybrid TV and OTT platforms cater to evolving media consumption trends, while its real-time booking and audience measurement tools provide added value for broadcasters and advertisers. SES maintains a strong market position due to its extensive global coverage, technological expertise, and long-standing relationships with key industry players. Its focus on innovation, such as the SES 360 platform, reinforces its competitive edge in a rapidly digitizing world.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

SES reported revenue of €2.0 billion for the period, reflecting its broad service portfolio and global reach. Net income stood at €15 million, indicating modest profitability amid competitive and capital-intensive industry dynamics. Operating cash flow was robust at €1.0 billion, underscoring efficient cash generation, while capital expenditures of €280 million highlight ongoing investments in satellite infrastructure and technology upgrades.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s diluted EPS of €0.035 suggests limited earnings power relative to its market cap, partly due to high depreciation and interest costs associated with its satellite fleet. However, strong operating cash flow demonstrates SES’s ability to monetize its assets effectively, supporting reinvestment and debt servicing despite lower net profitability.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

SES maintains a solid liquidity position with €3.2 billion in cash and equivalents, though total debt of €4.6 billion reflects significant leverage. The balance sheet indicates a capital-intensive business model, with debt likely tied to long-term satellite investments. The company’s ability to generate consistent cash flow helps mitigate refinancing risks.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is driven by demand for satellite connectivity in underserved markets and expanding OTT platforms. SES pays a dividend of €0.50 per share, signaling commitment to shareholder returns, though payout sustainability depends on stable cash flows and disciplined capital allocation amid high infrastructure costs.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of €2.2 billion and a beta of 0.32, SES is viewed as a relatively stable investment within the volatile tech and communications sector. The modest valuation reflects investor caution around capital intensity and long-term ROI in satellite infrastructure, balanced by its cash-generative operations.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

SES’s strategic advantages include its global satellite network, diversified revenue streams, and technological leadership in multi-orbit solutions. The outlook hinges on leveraging its infrastructure for high-growth areas like broadband and government services, though competition from low-earth orbit (LEO) providers remains a key challenge.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount