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Intrinsic Value of Steven Madden, Ltd. (SHOO)

Previous Close$25.52
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$25.52

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Steven Madden, Ltd. operates as a leading designer, marketer, and wholesaler of fashion-forward footwear, accessories, and apparel. The company targets value-conscious consumers through its flagship Steve Madden brand, alongside other owned and licensed labels, catering to diverse demographics. Its revenue model combines wholesale distribution to major retailers, direct-to-consumer sales via e-commerce and owned stores, and licensing agreements, ensuring diversified income streams. The company maintains a strong foothold in the competitive fashion industry by leveraging trend-driven designs, agile supply chains, and strategic brand collaborations. Steven Madden’s market positioning balances affordability with aspirational style, appealing to both younger shoppers and broader audiences. Its ability to quickly adapt to fashion trends and expand into adjacent categories, such as handbags and outerwear, reinforces its resilience in volatile retail markets. The company’s omnichannel approach and international expansion further solidify its competitive edge.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, Steven Madden reported revenue of $2.28 billion, with net income of $169.4 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 7.4%. Diluted EPS stood at $2.35, demonstrating steady profitability. Operating cash flow was robust at $198.1 million, though capital expenditures of $25.9 million indicate moderate reinvestment. The company’s efficiency metrics suggest disciplined cost management, supporting stable cash generation despite macroeconomic pressures.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Steven Madden’s earnings power is underpinned by its diversified revenue streams and strong brand equity. The company’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to generate substantial operating cash flow relative to its asset base. With a disciplined approach to inventory and working capital management, the firm maintains healthy returns on invested capital, though its growth investments in digital and international markets may weigh on short-term efficiency metrics.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company’s balance sheet remains solid, with $189.9 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $153 million, reflecting a conservative leverage profile. This liquidity position provides flexibility for strategic initiatives, including potential acquisitions or share repurchases. Steven Madden’s financial health is further supported by its consistent cash flow generation, reducing reliance on external financing.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Steven Madden has demonstrated resilience in growth, with its direct-to-consumer and international segments showing promise. The company’s dividend policy, with a payout of $0.84 per share, reflects a commitment to returning capital to shareholders while retaining sufficient funds for reinvestment. Future growth may hinge on expanding digital capabilities and penetrating emerging markets, though macroeconomic headwinds could temper near-term expansion.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market appears to value Steven Madden’s consistent profitability and brand strength, though its valuation multiples may reflect cautious sentiment around discretionary retail. Investors likely weigh its growth potential against sector-wide challenges, such as inflationary pressures and shifting consumer preferences. The stock’s performance will depend on execution in digital transformation and international markets.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Steven Madden’s strategic advantages include its agile supply chain, strong brand portfolio, and omnichannel reach. The outlook remains cautiously optimistic, with opportunities in e-commerce and international markets offsetting potential risks. The company’s ability to innovate and adapt to fashion trends positions it well for long-term success, though macroeconomic volatility remains a key monitorable.

Sources

10-K filings, company investor presentations

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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