investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of The Shyft Group, Inc. (SHYF)

Previous Close$0.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$0.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

The Shyft Group, Inc. operates as a specialty vehicle manufacturer, serving commercial, retail, and service markets with a focus on last-mile delivery, fleet vehicles, and vocational trucks. The company generates revenue through the design, engineering, and assembly of custom vehicle solutions, including walk-in vans, truck bodies, and specialty chassis. Its core segments—Fleet Vehicles and Services, and Specialty Vehicles—cater to diverse industries such as e-commerce, parcel delivery, and emergency services, leveraging a build-to-order model that emphasizes customization and reliability. Shyft holds a competitive edge through its vertically integrated manufacturing capabilities and strong relationships with fleet operators, positioning it as a nimble player in a fragmented market. The company’s ability to adapt to evolving regulatory and environmental standards, such as electric vehicle integration, further strengthens its market relevance. While it faces competition from larger OEMs, Shyft’s focus on niche applications and tailored solutions allows it to maintain a differentiated presence in the specialty vehicle sector.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, Shyft reported revenue of $786.2 million but recorded a net loss of $2.8 million, reflecting margin pressures from input costs and operational inefficiencies. Diluted EPS stood at -$0.08, underscoring profitability challenges. Operating cash flow of $30.1 million and capital expenditures of $13.7 million suggest moderate cash generation, though reinvestment needs remain a drag on free cash flow. The company’s ability to improve cost structures will be critical to restoring positive earnings.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Shyft’s negative net income and diluted EPS indicate subdued earnings power in the near term. Operating cash flow, while positive, is insufficient to offset capital expenditures fully, highlighting constraints in capital efficiency. The company’s focus on scaling high-margin segments and optimizing production could enhance returns, but execution risks persist given current macroeconomic headwinds and competitive dynamics.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Shyft’s balance sheet shows $15.8 million in cash and equivalents against $175.3 million in total debt, signaling moderate leverage. The debt-to-equity ratio suggests manageable obligations, but limited liquidity may constrain flexibility. Working capital management and debt servicing will be key focus areas, particularly if revenue volatility persists or interest rates remain elevated.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Despite profitability challenges, Shyft maintains a dividend of $0.20 per share, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns. Growth prospects hinge on demand for last-mile delivery vehicles and electrification trends, though near-term execution risks temper optimism. The company’s ability to align production with cyclical demand and regulatory shifts will determine its trajectory in a capital-intensive industry.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Shyft’s valuation likely reflects its cyclical exposure and margin pressures, with investors pricing in a turnaround scenario. The stock’s performance will depend on improved profitability and free cash flow generation, as well as broader trends in commercial vehicle demand. Market expectations appear cautious, given the company’s mixed financial metrics and competitive landscape.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Shyft’s strategic advantages lie in its niche focus, customization capabilities, and adaptability to regulatory changes. However, the outlook remains uncertain due to macroeconomic pressures and operational challenges. Success will hinge on cost discipline, electrification initiatives, and leveraging its build-to-order model to capture demand in evolving end markets. Execution will be critical to reversing recent underperformance.

Sources

10-K, company filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount