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Intrinsic ValueSemler Scientific, Inc. (SMLR)

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Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
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VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Semler Scientific, Inc. operates in the healthcare technology sector, specializing in innovative diagnostic solutions for vascular diseases. The company’s flagship product, QuantaFlo, is a non-invasive blood flow measurement system used to detect peripheral arterial disease (PAD). Semler Scientific generates revenue primarily through the sale of its proprietary testing equipment and related software, catering to healthcare providers seeking efficient, cost-effective diagnostic tools. The company has carved a niche in the vascular diagnostics market by combining clinical accuracy with operational simplicity, positioning itself as a trusted partner for medical professionals. Its business model relies on recurring revenue from equipment sales and maintenance contracts, ensuring stable cash flows. Semler Scientific competes in a growing market driven by aging populations and increasing prevalence of chronic vascular conditions, leveraging its technological edge to maintain a competitive position.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Semler Scientific reported revenue of $56.3 million for FY 2024, with net income reaching $40.9 million, reflecting strong profitability. The company’s diluted EPS stood at $5.13, underscoring efficient earnings generation. Operating cash flow was robust at $24.4 million, while capital expenditures remained minimal at $51,000, indicating capital-light operations and high cash conversion efficiency.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company demonstrates significant earnings power, with a net income margin of approximately 72.6%, highlighting its ability to convert revenue into profit effectively. Semler Scientific’s capital efficiency is evident in its negligible debt ($70,000) and substantial cash reserves ($8.8 million), allowing for flexibility in strategic investments or shareholder returns.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Semler Scientific maintains a strong balance sheet, with $8.8 million in cash and equivalents and minimal total debt of $70,000. The absence of significant liabilities and a debt-free profile underscore the company’s financial stability and low-risk posture, providing a solid foundation for future growth initiatives.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has shown consistent growth in revenue and profitability, driven by demand for its diagnostic solutions. Semler Scientific does not currently pay dividends, opting instead to reinvest earnings into product development and market expansion, aligning with its growth-oriented strategy.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Semler Scientific’s valuation reflects its high profitability and growth potential, with a market likely pricing in continued demand for its vascular diagnostic products. The company’s strong earnings power and clean balance sheet position it favorably among peers in the healthcare technology sector.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Semler Scientific’s strategic advantages lie in its proprietary technology, recurring revenue model, and focus on vascular diagnostics. The outlook remains positive, supported by demographic trends favoring increased diagnostic testing. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on market opportunities while maintaining financial discipline.

Sources

Company filings, financial statements

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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