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Intrinsic ValueSogeclair S.A. (SOG.PA)

Previous Close19.40
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
19.40

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Sogeclair SA operates as a specialized engineering and production services provider, primarily serving the aerospace, automotive, rail, defense, and civil industries. The company’s diversified portfolio spans three core divisions: Aerospace, Vehicle, and Simulation. The Aerospace division focuses on aerostructures, cabin systems, and manufacturing engineering, while the Vehicle division designs specialized civilian and military vehicles, including terrestrial drones. The Simulation division delivers turnkey simulators and software platforms, positioning Sogeclair as a niche player in high-precision industrial solutions. With a strong foothold in France and international markets, the company leverages its engineering expertise to cater to demanding sectors requiring advanced technological integration. Its market position is reinforced by long-standing client relationships and a reputation for innovation in structural thermoplastic products and additive manufacturing. Sogeclair’s ability to adapt to evolving industry needs, such as lightweight materials in aerospace and autonomous systems in defense, underscores its competitive edge in a capital-intensive and regulation-driven environment.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Sogeclair reported revenue of €157.0 million for the period, with net income of €4.4 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 2.8%. The company generated €17.0 million in operating cash flow, demonstrating solid cash conversion despite modest profitability. Capital expenditures of €1.7 million suggest a disciplined approach to reinvestment, aligning with its asset-light service model.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted EPS of €1.45 indicates moderate earnings power, supported by stable demand in aerospace and defense. The company’s capital efficiency is tempered by its debt load, with total debt of €30.8 million against cash reserves of €20.4 million. Operating cash flow coverage of debt appears manageable, though the beta of 1.65 signals higher volatility relative to the market.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Sogeclair maintains a balanced liquidity position, with €20.4 million in cash and equivalents offset by €30.8 million in total debt. The net debt position of €10.4 million suggests moderate leverage, though the aerospace sector’s cyclicality warrants caution. The company’s financial health is further supported by positive operating cash flow, providing flexibility for strategic investments or debt reduction.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth prospects are tied to aerospace recovery and defense spending, with limited historical data on consistent revenue expansion. The dividend of €0.9 per share implies a payout ratio of approximately 62%, reflecting a shareholder-friendly policy but potentially constraining reinvestment capacity. Future growth may hinge on securing larger contracts or expanding simulation and additive manufacturing capabilities.

Valuation And Market Expectations

At a market cap of €59.1 million, Sogeclair trades at a P/E of approximately 13.4x, aligning with niche aerospace peers. The elevated beta suggests investor expectations of cyclical volatility, while the dividend yield may appeal to income-focused stakeholders. Valuation appears reasonable given its specialized positioning, though sector headwinds could pressure multiples.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Sogeclair’s strengths lie in its engineering expertise and diversified industrial exposure, mitigating sector-specific risks. Near-term challenges include supply chain disruptions and defense budget fluctuations, but long-term opportunities in lightweight materials and autonomous systems could drive growth. The outlook remains cautiously optimistic, contingent on execution in high-margin niches and debt management.

Sources

Company filings, market data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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