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Intrinsic Value of S&P Global Inc. (SPGI)

Previous Close$530.12
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$530.12

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

S&P Global Inc. operates as a leading provider of financial market intelligence, credit ratings, benchmarks, and analytics. The company serves institutional and retail investors, corporations, and governments through its diversified portfolio, which includes S&P Ratings, S&P Dow Jones Indices, S&P Global Market Intelligence, and S&P Global Commodity Insights. Its revenue model is subscription-based, supplemented by transactional fees, ensuring recurring income streams. The firm holds a dominant position in credit ratings and financial data, competing with Moody’s and Bloomberg. Its deep industry expertise, global reach, and regulatory moat reinforce its competitive edge. S&P Global’s offerings are integral to capital markets, risk assessment, and investment decision-making, making it a cornerstone of the financial ecosystem. The company continues to expand through strategic acquisitions and technological innovation, further solidifying its market leadership.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, S&P Global reported revenue of $14.21 billion, with net income of $3.85 billion, reflecting a robust net margin of approximately 27%. Diluted EPS stood at $12.35, demonstrating strong earnings power. Operating cash flow was $5.69 billion, significantly exceeding capital expenditures of $124 million, indicating high cash conversion efficiency. The company’s ability to generate substantial free cash flow underscores its operational effectiveness and pricing power.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

S&P Global’s earnings are underpinned by high-margin, recurring revenue streams from subscriptions and data services. The firm’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to deliver consistent returns with minimal reinvestment needs. Operating cash flow coverage of net income at 1.5x highlights sustainable profitability. The company’s asset-light model allows for high returns on invested capital, further enhancing shareholder value.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

As of FY 2024, S&P Global held $1.67 billion in cash and equivalents against total debt of $11.93 billion. The debt level is manageable given the firm’s strong cash flow generation and low capital intensity. The balance sheet remains investment-grade, supported by stable earnings and a diversified revenue base. Liquidity is ample, with operating cash flow comfortably covering interest and dividend obligations.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

S&P Global has demonstrated steady growth, driven by organic expansion and strategic acquisitions. The company paid a dividend of $3.64 per share in FY 2024, reflecting a commitment to returning capital to shareholders. Dividend growth has been consistent, supported by reliable cash flows. Future growth is expected to be fueled by demand for data analytics and ESG-related services, alongside market share gains in ratings and indices.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market values S&P Global at a premium, reflecting its strong competitive position and predictable earnings. Investors anticipate sustained growth in high-margin segments like ratings and indices, alongside margin expansion from operational leverage. The stock’s valuation multiples align with its peer group, given its superior profitability and growth prospects.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

S&P Global benefits from entrenched market positions, regulatory barriers, and a globally recognized brand. Its diversified revenue streams and technological investments position it well for long-term growth. The outlook remains positive, supported by increasing demand for financial data and analytics. Strategic initiatives, including AI integration and ESG-focused offerings, are expected to drive future performance.

Sources

10-K filings, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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