investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueStellar AfricaGold Inc. (SPX.V)

Previous Close$0.12
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$0.12

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Stellar AfricaGold Inc. operates as a junior mineral exploration company focused on discovering and developing gold deposits across strategic jurisdictions. The company's core revenue model is predicated on creating shareholder value through the acquisition and systematic exploration of mineral properties, with the ultimate goal of defining economically viable resources that can be advanced toward production or attract partnership agreements. Its portfolio spans West Africa and Canada, including key assets such as the Lullwitz-Kaepelli property in Quebec, the Priko and Zenoula permits in Côte d'Ivoire, and the prospective Tichka Est-gold project in Morocco. Operating within the highly speculative gold exploration sector, Stellar AfricaGold targets early-stage opportunities in geologically prospective regions, positioning itself as a high-risk, high-potential venture. The company's market position is that of a micro-cap explorer, competing for capital and attention in a crowded field by emphasizing its land package quality and jurisdictional diversity. Its strategy involves methodically testing exploration targets to generate technical milestones that can drive valuation increases, rather than deriving immediate operating revenue.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

As a pre-revenue exploration company, Stellar AfricaGold reported no revenue for the period, which is typical for entities at this developmental stage. The company's operations resulted in a net loss of CAD 690 thousand, reflecting the substantial costs associated with mineral exploration activities, administrative overhead, and corporate functions. The absence of revenue generation underscores the company's current focus on resource definition rather than commercial production, with financial performance primarily measured by progress on its exploration projects and the efficient deployment of its limited capital.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's earnings power is currently negative, as evidenced by a diluted loss per share of CAD 59.80. Operating cash flow was significantly negative at CAD 76.83 thousand, indicating that the company is consuming cash to fund its exploration programs and general corporate activities. With no capital expenditures recorded for the period, the company's investment in property, plant, and equipment appears to have been minimal, suggesting a focus on early-stage exploration work rather than significant asset development.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Stellar AfricaGold maintains a debt-free balance sheet, with total debt reported as zero. The company held cash and cash equivalents of CAD 26.625 thousand at period end, which provides limited liquidity for ongoing operations. This modest cash position, combined with consistent negative cash flows from operations, indicates a reliance on future equity financings or strategic transactions to fund its exploration programs and maintain corporate viability.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth for Stellar AfricaGold is measured through exploration progress and land acquisition rather than financial metrics. The company does not pay a dividend, which is consistent with its status as a pre-revenue exploration company that reinvests all available capital into its projects. Future growth prospects are entirely dependent on successful exploration results, potential resource definition, and the ability to secure additional funding to advance its portfolio of gold properties.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CAD 8.89 million, the market's valuation reflects the speculative nature of the company's exploration assets and the high-risk profile inherent in junior mining ventures. The beta of 0.503 suggests lower volatility relative to the broader market, which may be attributed to the company's small float and trading characteristics on the TSX Venture Exchange. The valuation primarily incorporates expectations for future exploration success rather than current financial performance.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Stellar AfricaGold's strategic advantages lie in its diversified portfolio across politically stable and prospective mining jurisdictions in Canada and West Africa. The outlook is contingent upon the company's ability to execute its exploration programs effectively, achieve meaningful technical milestones, and secure necessary financing. Success will be determined by drill results, resource estimates, and the overall ability to demonstrate the economic potential of its gold properties in a competitive capital market environment.

Sources

Company FilingsTSX Venture Exchange

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount