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Intrinsic Value of Spire Inc. (SR)

Previous Close$74.44
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$74.44

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Spire Inc. operates as a natural gas utility company, serving residential, commercial, and industrial customers across multiple U.S. states. The company generates revenue primarily through regulated gas distribution, ensuring stable cash flows supported by long-term rate structures approved by state commissions. Spire’s vertically integrated operations include gas procurement, storage, and pipeline infrastructure, reinforcing its reliability in energy delivery. The company holds a strong regional market position, benefiting from regulatory frameworks that provide predictable earnings. Spire’s strategic focus on infrastructure modernization and sustainability initiatives aligns with broader industry trends toward cleaner energy solutions. Its diversified customer base and essential service nature mitigate demand volatility, while targeted investments in system resilience enhance long-term competitiveness. The company’s regulated utility model offers a defensive profile, with growth driven by rate base expansion and operational efficiency improvements.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Spire reported revenue of $2.59 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $250.9 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 9.7%. Diluted EPS stood at $4.19, supported by disciplined cost management and regulatory mechanisms. Operating cash flow of $912.4 million underscores strong cash generation, though capital expenditures of $861.3 million highlight ongoing infrastructure investments. The company’s efficiency metrics align with industry peers, balancing growth spending with profitability.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Spire’s earnings power is anchored in its regulated utility operations, which provide stable returns on invested capital. The company’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to fund significant infrastructure projects while maintaining healthy cash flows. With a focus on rate base growth and operational leverage, Spire aims to sustain mid-single-digit earnings growth, supported by regulatory recoveries and cost controls.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Spire’s balance sheet shows $4.5 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $4.69 billion, reflecting a leveraged but manageable position typical of regulated utilities. The company’s debt profile is structured to match long-lived assets, with access to capital markets ensuring liquidity. Regulatory protections and predictable cash flows mitigate refinancing risks, supporting investment-grade credit metrics.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Spire’s growth is driven by rate base expansion and customer additions, with a focus on infrastructure upgrades and decarbonization initiatives. The company pays a dividend of $3.08 per share, offering a yield competitive with utility peers. Dividend sustainability is supported by earnings stability and regulatory frameworks, with payout ratios aligned with industry norms.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Spire’s valuation reflects its defensive utility profile, trading at multiples consistent with regulated gas peers. Market expectations center on steady earnings growth from rate cases and capital deployment, with limited exposure to commodity price volatility. Investor sentiment is influenced by regulatory outcomes and execution on growth projects.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Spire’s strategic advantages include its regulated monopoly positions, infrastructure investments, and commitment to sustainability. The outlook remains stable, with growth tied to regulatory approvals and operational execution. Risks include regulatory lag and interest rate exposure, but the company’s essential service model provides resilience.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), investor presentations

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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