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Intrinsic ValueStar Phoenix Group Ltd (STA.L)

Previous Close£1.05
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
£1.05

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2020 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Star Phoenix Group Ltd operates in the oil and gas exploration and production sector, with a focus on assets in Trinidad and Indonesia. The company holds a 23% stake in the Perlak project in Northern Sumatra, positioning it in a region with established hydrocarbon potential. Its revenue model is primarily driven by oilfield services and production from its exploration assets, though recent financials indicate operational challenges. The company’s market position is niche, given its limited asset base and geographic concentration, which exposes it to regional risks and commodity price volatility. As a smaller player in the energy sector, Star Phoenix competes with larger, more diversified firms, requiring strategic partnerships or operational efficiencies to sustain growth. The transition from Range Resources Limited to Star Phoenix reflects its evolving focus, but its ability to capitalize on its assets remains constrained by financial and operational headwinds.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Star Phoenix reported no revenue for FY 2022, alongside a net loss of 1,522,099 GBp, reflecting significant operational challenges. The absence of revenue suggests stalled production or service activities, while the negative operating cash flow of 1,454,097 GBp underscores inefficiencies in sustaining operations without external funding. The lack of capital expenditures indicates minimal reinvestment, likely due to financial constraints.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s diluted EPS of -0.0101 GBp highlights weak earnings power, exacerbated by negative cash flows. With no debt, Star Phoenix relies entirely on equity or reserves, but its cash position of 758,346 GBp appears insufficient to cover ongoing losses. The absence of capital expenditures suggests limited near-term growth prospects, further straining capital efficiency.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Star Phoenix’s balance sheet shows 758,346 GBp in cash with no debt, providing short-term liquidity but no leverage capacity. However, persistent operating losses and negative cash flows raise concerns about long-term solvency. The lack of revenue-generating activities may necessitate additional financing or asset monetization to sustain operations.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company exhibits no revenue growth, with stagnant operations and no dividends, reflecting its focus on survival rather than shareholder returns. Its market cap of 1,584,208 GBp suggests limited investor confidence in near-term turnaround prospects. Without clear growth initiatives or production resumption, the trajectory remains uncertain.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Star Phoenix’s valuation appears speculative, given its lack of revenue and persistent losses. The low beta of 0.34 indicates muted sensitivity to market movements, typical of distressed or inactive firms. Market expectations are likely subdued, with investors awaiting operational catalysts or restructuring efforts.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company’s strategic advantages are limited to its asset ownership in Trinidad and Indonesia, though execution risks remain high. The outlook is cautious, hinging on operational improvements or external funding. Without a clear path to profitability, Star Phoenix faces significant challenges in regaining market relevance.

Sources

Company filings, London Stock Exchange data

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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