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Intrinsic ValueStock Spirits Group PLC (STCK.L)

Previous Close£377.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
£377.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2020 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Stock Spirits Group PLC operates in the branded spirits sector, specializing in the production and distribution of a diverse portfolio including vodka, rum, brandy, and flavored liqueurs across Central and Eastern Europe. The company leverages its long-standing heritage, dating back to 1884, to maintain a strong regional presence while exporting to approximately 50 countries. Its core revenue model relies on premiumization and volume-driven sales, supported by strategic distribution partnerships and localized branding. Stock Spirits holds a competitive edge in markets like Poland and the Czech Republic, where it ranks among the top spirits producers. The company’s product diversification—spanning vodka-based liqueurs, herbal bitters, and limoncello—helps mitigate regional demand fluctuations. While facing competition from global players, its deep market penetration and cost-efficient production facilities reinforce its resilience in the consumer defensive sector.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For FY 2020, Stock Spirits reported revenue of £340.99 million, with net income of £19.56 million, reflecting a modest margin amid operational challenges. Operating cash flow stood at £73.3 million, indicating robust cash generation, while capital expenditures of £11.31 million suggest disciplined reinvestment. The diluted EPS of 9.73p underscores earnings stability despite sector headwinds.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s operating cash flow-to-revenue ratio of ~21.5% highlights efficient cash conversion, supporting dividend payouts and debt management. However, net income margins (~5.7%) indicate pressure from input costs or competitive pricing, tempered by its asset-light distribution model and regional scale.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Stock Spirits maintained £42.75 million in cash against £83.54 million in total debt, reflecting a manageable leverage position. The balance sheet remains liquid, with operating cash flow covering interest obligations comfortably. Capital expenditures are modest relative to cash flow, preserving financial flexibility.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth has been steady, supported by export expansion and product innovation. The dividend payout of 52.435p per share signals a shareholder-friendly policy, with a yield likely attractive in the low-interest-rate environment. However, long-term growth depends on market share retention and premiumization trends in core regions.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The stock’s beta of 0.73 suggests lower volatility relative to the market, aligning with its defensive sector. Valuation metrics are unavailable, but the company’s regional dominance and cash flow stability may justify a premium in niche spirits markets.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Stock Spirits benefits from entrenched market positions and a diversified product mix, though reliance on Central and Eastern Europe poses geographic concentration risks. Strategic focus on premium offerings and cost efficiency could drive margin improvement, but macroeconomic and regulatory pressures remain key watchpoints.

Sources

Company filings, London Stock Exchange data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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