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Intrinsic ValueSureserve Group plc (SUR.L)

Previous Close£124.48
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
£124.48

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Sureserve Group plc operates in the UK's compliance and energy support services sector, specializing in gas, fire, electrical, and water hygiene compliance for public and private clients. The company serves local authorities, housing associations, and commercial landlords with essential safety and energy efficiency solutions, including renewable energy installations and smart metering. Its diversified service portfolio positions it as a key provider in the UK's growing demand for regulatory compliance and sustainable energy retrofits. Sureserve leverages its long-standing relationships with public sector entities to secure recurring revenue streams, while expanding into private sector opportunities. The company’s focus on decarbonization and energy efficiency aligns with national net-zero targets, enhancing its relevance in a transitioning market. Its acquisition of complementary businesses strengthens its technical capabilities and geographic reach, reinforcing its competitive edge in a fragmented industry.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Sureserve reported revenue of £275.1 million for FY 2022, with net income of £11.1 million, reflecting a 4% net margin. Operating cash flow stood at £16.4 million, supported by disciplined cost management. Capital expenditures were modest at £1.7 million, indicating a capital-light model focused on service delivery rather than heavy asset investment. The company’s efficiency is underscored by its ability to convert revenue into cash flow despite sector-wide cost pressures.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted EPS of 6.6p demonstrates modest but stable earnings power, with a focus on high-margin compliance services. The company’s capital efficiency is evident in its low debt-to-equity ratio and ability to fund operations organically. Operating cash flow covers interest obligations comfortably, reflecting prudent financial management and a sustainable business model.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Sureserve maintains a solid balance sheet with £19.3 million in cash and equivalents and total debt of £15.1 million, yielding a net cash position. The low leverage ratio provides flexibility for strategic investments or acquisitions. Working capital management appears effective, with sufficient liquidity to meet short-term obligations and support growth initiatives.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth is driven by regulatory tailwinds in energy efficiency and safety compliance. The company paid a dividend of 5.65p per share, signaling confidence in cash flow stability. Future growth may hinge on expanding renewable energy services and smart metering adoption, though macroeconomic headwinds could temper near-term momentum.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of £212 million, Sureserve trades at a P/E multiple of approximately 19x FY 2022 earnings, reflecting investor expectations for steady growth in compliance-driven demand. The beta of 0.64 suggests lower volatility relative to the broader market, aligning with its defensive business model.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Sureserve’s strategic advantages include its entrenched public sector relationships and expertise in regulatory compliance. The outlook remains positive, supported by UK decarbonization policies, though labor and supply chain challenges could weigh on margins. The company’s ability to scale renewable energy services will be critical to long-term value creation.

Sources

Company filings, London Stock Exchange disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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