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Intrinsic ValueStanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWF.DE)

Previous Close82.56
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
82.56

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Stanley Black & Decker operates as a diversified industrial leader, specializing in power and hand tools, security solutions, and industrial fastening systems. The company serves a broad customer base across construction, manufacturing, and infrastructure sectors, leveraging well-established brands like DEWALT, Craftsman, and BLACK+DECKER. Its Tools & Storage segment dominates revenue, while Security and Industrial segments provide stability through recurring revenue streams in electronic security and engineered fastening. The firm maintains a competitive edge through innovation, brand loyalty, and global distribution, though it faces pricing pressure from lower-cost competitors. Its market position is reinforced by strategic acquisitions, such as the Craftsman brand, and investments in automation and digital tools to enhance productivity. The company’s industrial segment benefits from infrastructure spending trends, while its security division capitalizes on rising demand for commercial and residential safety solutions.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, Stanley Black & Decker reported revenue of €15.4 billion, with net income of €294 million, reflecting a modest margin amid cost pressures. Operating cash flow stood at €1.1 billion, supported by working capital improvements, while capital expenditures of €354 million indicate ongoing investments in capacity and innovation. The diluted EPS of €1.89 suggests earnings resilience despite macroeconomic headwinds.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is tempered by high debt levels and interest expenses, though its diversified segments provide stability. Return metrics are influenced by cyclical demand in tools and industrial markets, while cost optimization initiatives aim to bolster margins. Free cash flow generation remains a priority, funding dividends and debt reduction.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Stanley Black & Decker’s balance sheet shows €290.5 million in cash against €6.6 billion in total debt, reflecting leverage that requires careful management. The debt-to-equity ratio suggests moderate financial risk, with liquidity supported by operating cash flows. The company’s ability to service obligations hinges on sustained profitability and disciplined capital allocation.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth is tied to construction and industrial activity, with long-term potential in smart tools and security solutions. The firm maintains a shareholder-friendly dividend policy, distributing €3.85 per share annually, though payout sustainability depends on earnings recovery. Strategic acquisitions and organic innovation remain key growth drivers.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of €12.7 billion and a beta of 1.25, the stock reflects moderate volatility and investor expectations of cyclical recovery. Valuation multiples align with industrial peers, though premium brands and market leadership may justify higher multiples if margin improvements materialize.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Stanley Black & Decker’s strengths lie in its iconic brands, global scale, and diversified end markets. Near-term challenges include input cost inflation and softer demand, but long-term prospects are supported by infrastructure investments and digital transformation. The outlook hinges on execution in cost management and innovation to drive sustainable growth.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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