investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Tantech Holdings Ltd (TANH)

Previous Close$1.86
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$1.86

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2023 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Tantech Holdings Ltd operates in the clean energy and environmental technology sectors, specializing in the production and distribution of bamboo-based charcoal products and electric vehicle (EV) components. The company generates revenue through manufacturing and selling activated carbon for industrial and consumer applications, alongside developing EV battery solutions. Positioned in China’s growing green technology market, Tantech leverages its expertise in sustainable materials to cater to domestic demand for eco-friendly alternatives. Its diversified product portfolio includes air purification products, soil remediation solutions, and energy-efficient EV parts, positioning it as a niche player in both environmental and automotive supply chains. The company’s focus on R&D and strategic partnerships enhances its competitive edge in a market increasingly driven by regulatory support for carbon neutrality and clean energy adoption.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2023, Tantech reported revenue of $47.3 million, with net income of $5.6 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 11.8%. Operating cash flow stood at $5.3 million, supported by disciplined cost management. Capital expenditures were modest at $183k, indicating efficient reinvestment relative to cash generation. The diluted EPS of $80.69 underscores strong per-share profitability, though the figure appears unusually high due to the low share count.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company demonstrates solid earnings power, with net income growth driven by its core charcoal and EV segments. Operating cash flow conversion is healthy, covering capital expenditures multiple times over. The absence of significant reinvestment needs suggests capital efficiency, though further details on segment-level ROIC would clarify the quality of earnings. The high EPS figure warrants scrutiny given the limited float.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Tantech maintains a robust balance sheet, with $29.1 million in cash and equivalents against $9.5 million in total debt, yielding a net cash position. This liquidity provides flexibility for R&D or strategic initiatives. The debt-to-equity ratio appears manageable, though detailed maturity schedules would better assess refinancing risks. Shareholders’ equity is likely strengthened by retained earnings.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth trends are not explicitly provided, but the profitability metrics suggest stable demand for its products. The company does not pay dividends, opting to retain earnings for growth initiatives. Future expansion may hinge on scaling EV-related offerings or leveraging China’s green policy tailwinds. Historical growth rates and order backlog data would offer clearer directional insights.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap derived from a low float, valuation metrics may be volatile. The high EPS suggests a low P/E ratio, but comparability is limited without industry benchmarks. Investors likely price in expectations for China’s clean energy sector growth, though geopolitical and regulatory risks could temper multiples. A sum-of-parts valuation might better capture the EV and charcoal segments’ distinct drivers.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Tantech’s dual focus on environmental tech and EV components aligns with global decarbonization trends, though reliance on China’s domestic market poses concentration risks. Its R&D capabilities and net cash position provide a foundation for innovation, but scalability remains untested. Near-term performance may depend on EV adoption rates and regulatory incentives, while long-term success hinges on diversifying revenue streams beyond charcoal products.

Sources

10-K filing for FY 2023, CIK 0001588084

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045204620472048

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount