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Intrinsic ValueTechnicolor S.A. (TCH.PA)

Previous Close2.95
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
2.95

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Technicolor SA operates as a key player in the media and entertainment sector, specializing in high-end creative services, DVD replication, and connected home solutions. The company's Technicolor Creative Studios segment caters to content creators with visual effects and animation for films, series, and advertising, positioning it as a trusted partner in Hollywood and global media production. Its DVD Services segment supports physical media distribution, while Connected Home provides broadband and video equipment for Pay-TV operators, reflecting a diversified but niche-focused revenue model. Despite industry shifts toward digital streaming, Technicolor maintains relevance through its integrated supply-chain solutions and technological adaptability in a competitive and evolving market.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2021, Technicolor reported revenue of €2.9 billion, though it faced a net loss of €119 million, reflecting challenges in profitability. Operating cash flow was modest at €14 million, while capital expenditures totaled €97 million, indicating significant reinvestment needs. The diluted EPS of -€1.62 underscores ongoing financial pressures, likely tied to sector disruptions and operational inefficiencies.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's negative net income and high total debt of €1.24 billion highlight strained earnings power. With limited operating cash flow relative to debt obligations, capital efficiency remains a concern. The €196 million in cash reserves provides some liquidity but may be insufficient to offset leverage without improved profitability.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Technicolor's balance sheet shows €196 million in cash against €1.24 billion in total debt, signaling elevated leverage. The negative net income further stresses financial health, though the diversified business segments offer potential stability. The company's ability to manage debt amid industry headwinds will be critical for long-term viability.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Technicolor's growth is hampered by net losses and sector shifts away from physical media. The dividend per share of €340.09 appears anomalous and may reflect a data error or one-time adjustment, as the company's financials do not support sustained payouts. Future growth hinges on digital transformation and cost optimization.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a negative EPS and high debt, market expectations for Technicolor are likely subdued. The lack of reported market cap and a beta of 1.46 suggest volatility, aligning with the company's uncertain turnaround prospects. Investors may be pricing in risks tied to legacy operations and competitive pressures.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Technicolor's strengths lie in its creative studios and connected home segments, which align with digital content demand. However, the DVD Services segment faces secular decline. Strategic focus on high-margin services and debt reduction could improve outlook, but execution risks remain high in a rapidly changing industry.

Sources

Company description, financial data provided

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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