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Intrinsic ValueThe Toronto-Dominion Bank 5 YR RST PFD 1 (TD-PFA.TO)

Previous Close$25.76
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$25.76

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD Bank) is a leading North American financial institution with a diversified business model spanning retail, commercial, and wholesale banking. Its Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking segment serves approximately 15 million customers, offering a comprehensive suite of financial products. The U.S. Retail segment operates under the TD Bank brand, emphasizing convenience and a broad product range, including auto finance and wealth management. TD Securities, the Wholesale Banking arm, provides capital markets and investment banking services to institutional clients. The Wealth Management and Insurance segment delivers tailored solutions to Canadian customers. TD Bank’s market position is reinforced by its strong domestic presence and strategic U.S. footprint, positioning it as a key player in North American banking. The bank’s diversified revenue streams and customer-centric approach underpin its resilience in competitive markets.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

TD Bank reported revenue of CAD 49.2 billion for FY 2023, with net income of CAD 10.8 billion, reflecting a robust profitability margin. Diluted EPS stood at CAD 5.6, indicating efficient earnings generation. Operating cash flow was negative at CAD -39.8 billion, primarily due to significant financial activities, while capital expenditures totaled CAD -1.8 billion, reflecting prudent investment in infrastructure and technology.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The bank’s earnings power is evident in its net income of CAD 10.8 billion, supported by diversified revenue streams. Capital efficiency is demonstrated through its ability to maintain a stable EPS despite macroeconomic headwinds. The negative operating cash flow is atypical but likely tied to large-scale financial operations rather than core profitability challenges.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

TD Bank’s balance sheet shows CAD 6.7 billion in cash and equivalents, against total debt of CAD 243.7 billion, indicating a leveraged but manageable position. The bank’s scale and diversified operations provide stability, though the high debt load warrants monitoring in rising interest rate environments. Its liquidity position remains adequate to meet obligations.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is driven by TD’s strong Canadian base and U.S. expansion, though the preferred share (TD-PFA.TO) does not offer dividends. The bank’s common shares, however, are known for consistent dividend payouts, reflecting a shareholder-friendly policy. Future growth will hinge on cross-border synergies and wealth management expansion.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of CAD 43.7 billion, TD Bank is valued as a major financial player. Investors likely expect steady performance from its retail and wholesale segments, though preferred shares like TD-PFA.TO are more niche instruments with limited liquidity and no dividend yield.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

TD Bank’s strategic advantages include its strong brand, diversified operations, and North American footprint. The outlook remains positive, supported by its retail banking dominance and growth in wealth management. However, macroeconomic volatility and regulatory changes could pose challenges to sustained profitability.

Sources

Company filings, TSX disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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