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Intrinsic ValueTemenos AG (TEMN.SW)

Previous CloseCHF68.35
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
CHF68.35

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Temenos AG is a leading global provider of integrated banking software systems, catering to financial institutions across retail, corporate, Islamic, and wealth management sectors. The company’s core revenue model is built on licensing its proprietary software solutions, including Temenos Transact for core banking, Temenos Payments for real-time transaction processing, and Temenos Infinity for digital banking, supplemented by SaaS offerings and consultancy services. Its modular, cloud-native architecture allows banks to modernize legacy systems while improving operational efficiency and regulatory compliance. Temenos operates in a highly competitive fintech landscape, competing with legacy vendors like FIS and Fiserv as well as cloud-native disruptors. However, its deep domain expertise, scalable platform, and strong client base—spanning over 3,000 institutions—reinforce its position as a trusted partner for digital transformation. The company’s focus on AI-driven automation and open APIs (via its Developer Community) further differentiates it, enabling clients to innovate rapidly. With a presence in 150+ countries, Temenos leverages its global footprint to cross-sell solutions, though it faces regional competition and integration challenges in fragmented markets.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Temenos reported CHF 1.04 billion in revenue for FY 2024, with net income of CHF 177.2 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 17%. The company generated CHF 363.4 million in operating cash flow, underscoring robust cash conversion. Capital expenditures were minimal (CHF -5 million), indicating asset-light operations typical of software firms. The diluted EPS of CHF 2.43 suggests efficient earnings distribution across its 72 million outstanding shares.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Temenos demonstrates solid earnings power, with its SaaS and recurring license model providing stable cash flows. The company’s capital efficiency is evident in its low capex requirements and high operating cash flow-to-revenue ratio (34.8%). However, its total debt of CHF 726.7 million warrants monitoring, though it is offset by CHF 114.2 million in cash reserves.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Temenos maintains a moderate debt load (CHF 726.7 million) against a market cap of CHF 4.24 billion, with a debt-to-equity ratio that suggests prudent leverage. Liquidity is supported by CHF 114.2 million in cash. The balance sheet reflects a software-centric structure, with intangible assets likely dominating its asset base.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is driven by cloud adoption and cross-selling, though revenue growth rates are not specified. The company pays a dividend of CHF 1.3 per share, signaling a commitment to shareholder returns, with a payout ratio of ~53% based on FY 2024 EPS. Future expansion may hinge on upselling AI and compliance modules.

Valuation And Market Expectations

At a market cap of CHF 4.24 billion, Temenos trades at ~4x revenue and ~24x net income, aligning with mature SaaS peers. Its beta of 0.99 indicates market-average volatility. Investors likely price in steady growth from digital banking trends but may discount execution risks in competitive markets.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Temenos’s strengths lie in its comprehensive product suite, global reach, and SaaS transition. Regulatory tailwinds (e.g., open banking) and AI integration could drive upsell opportunities. However, competition and macroeconomic pressures on bank IT budgets pose risks. The outlook remains cautiously optimistic, contingent on execution in cloud migration and innovation.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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