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Intrinsic ValueThink Research Corporation (THNK.V)

Previous Close$0.32
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$0.32

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Think Research Corporation operates as a specialized healthcare technology company delivering knowledge-based Software-as-a-Service solutions to medical providers across Canada, the United States, and international markets. The company's core revenue model centers on subscription-based access to its integrated digital health platforms, which streamline clinical workflows and enhance patient care coordination. Its comprehensive product suite includes evidence-based clinical order sets that standardize care pathways at the point of treatment, alongside eReferral systems that facilitate seamless specialist connections directly from electronic medical records. Additional offerings encompass VirtualCare telemedicine solutions enabling remote consultations, eForms for real-time compliance analytics, and specialized tools for long-term care facilities and pandemic response. Operating within the competitive healthcare information services sector, Think Research leverages its clinical content expertise and proprietary technology to differentiate itself from generic software vendors. The company strategically positions itself as an essential digital infrastructure partner for healthcare organizations seeking to improve operational efficiency, reduce clinical variation, and transition toward value-based care models. Its focus on integrating actionable clinical knowledge directly into workflow software creates significant barriers to entry while addressing pressing industry needs for standardized, data-driven healthcare delivery.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Think Research generated CAD 78.6 million in revenue for FY2022 while reporting a net loss of CAD 25.7 million. The company's operating cash flow was negative CAD 4.7 million, though this was partially offset by disciplined capital expenditure management of CAD 4.2 million. These figures reflect the company's ongoing investments in platform development and market expansion during a growth phase, with profitability metrics indicating the transitional nature of its current operational scale within the competitive healthcare technology landscape.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's diluted earnings per share stood at -CAD 0.42 for the fiscal year, reflecting the substantial investments required to scale its SaaS platforms and clinical content library. While current earnings power remains constrained by expansion costs, the recurring revenue model inherent to its healthcare SaaS offerings provides a foundation for future margin improvement as the company achieves greater operational scale and customer penetration across its target markets.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Think Research maintained CAD 3.4 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of CAD 46.5 million as of December 2022. This debt-to-equity structure indicates leveraged growth financing, with the balance sheet reflecting the capital-intensive nature of healthcare technology expansion. The company's financial health will depend on its ability to convert growth investments into sustainable cash flow generation while managing its debt obligations through strategic refinancing or operational improvements.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company maintains a growth-focused strategy with no dividend distribution, reinvesting all capital into platform development and market expansion. Revenue growth trends will be critical to monitor as the company scales its SaaS offerings across healthcare providers. The absence of a dividend policy aligns with typical early-stage technology companies prioritizing market capture over shareholder returns, with future capital allocation decisions likely tied to achieving sustainable positive cash flow.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CAD 24.8 million, the market appears to be pricing in significant execution risk relative to the company's revenue base. The beta of 0.76 suggests moderate volatility compared to the broader market, reflecting the specialized nature of healthcare technology investments. Current valuation metrics imply investors are awaiting clearer pathways to profitability and sustainable growth before ascribing premium multiples to the business.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Think Research's primary strategic advantage lies in its integrated approach combining clinical content expertise with proprietary SaaS technology, creating significant switching costs for healthcare providers. The outlook depends on successful execution of its land-and-expand strategy within the healthcare sector, leveraging regulatory tailwinds toward digital health adoption. Key challenges include scaling profitably amid competition and demonstrating clear ROI to healthcare customers navigating budget constraints.

Sources

Company FY2022 Financial StatementsTSXV Filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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