investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Total Energy Services Inc. (TOT.TO)

Previous Close$10.92
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$10.92

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Total Energy Services Inc. operates as a diversified oilfield services provider, catering to the upstream oil and gas sector across Canada, the U.S., and Australia. The company’s four core segments—Contract Drilling, Rentals and Transportation, Compression and Process Services, and Well Servicing—deliver specialized equipment and operational support for exploration, production, and midstream activities. Its fleet includes 95 drilling rigs, 83 well servicing rigs, and 53,800 horsepower of compression capacity, positioning it as a mid-sized but agile player in a competitive industry. The company’s NOMAD-branded compressors and integrated service offerings provide niche differentiation, particularly in gas processing and transportation. While exposed to cyclical energy demand, Total Energy maintains regional diversification and operational flexibility to adapt to market conditions. Its focus on western Canada and the U.S. midcontinent aligns with active shale basins, though reliance on oil and gas capex remains a structural sensitivity. The firm’s asset-light rentals segment offers higher-margin recurring revenue, balancing the capital-intensive drilling and compression businesses.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Total Energy reported revenue of CAD 906.8 million in the latest fiscal year, with net income of CAD 60.8 million, reflecting a 6.7% net margin. Operating cash flow stood at CAD 165.9 million, underscoring solid cash conversion despite a capex outlay of CAD 91.1 million. The diluted EPS of CAD 1.53 indicates moderate earnings power relative to its market cap, with profitability tied to oilfield activity levels and day-rate pricing.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s segment diversification mitigates earnings volatility, with rentals and compression providing steadier cash flows compared to drilling’s cyclicality. ROIC is likely constrained by the capital-heavy rig fleet, though asset utilization improvements could enhance returns. The CAD 126.5 million debt load appears manageable, with operating cash flow covering interest obligations comfortably.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Total Energy maintains a conservative balance sheet, with CAD 38.4 million in cash against CAD 126.5 million total debt, yielding a net debt position of CAD 88.1 million. Liquidity is supported by undrawn credit facilities, and the debt-to-equity ratio suggests moderate leverage. The capex-to-operating-cash-flow ratio of 55% indicates disciplined reinvestment.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is contingent on energy sector investment cycles, with recent performance benefiting from post-pandemic demand recovery. The CAD 0.37 annual dividend per share implies a payout ratio near 24%, balancing shareholder returns with reinvestment needs. Share count stability (39.1 million outstanding) reflects a disciplined capital allocation approach.

Valuation And Market Expectations

At a CAD 384.7 million market cap, the stock trades at ~6.3x net income, reflecting sector-wide skepticism toward oilfield services. The elevated beta (1.83) signals high sensitivity to energy price swings. Investors likely price in cyclical risks offset by operational leverage to rising drilling activity.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Total Energy’s regional diversification and multi-segment model provide resilience, though exposure to Canadian energy policy remains a headwind. The compression segment’s proprietary technology and gas-focused rentals could benefit from long-term decarbonization trends. Near-term performance hinges on North American rig count stability and pricing power in a competitive services market.

Sources

Company description, financials, and market data sourced from publicly disclosed filings and exchange-provided metrics.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount