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Intrinsic ValueUnited Security Bancshares (UBFO)

Previous Close$10.74
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$10.74

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

United Security Bancshares operates as a bank holding company primarily serving customers in California through its subsidiary, United Security Bank. The company focuses on community banking, offering a range of financial services including commercial and retail banking, real estate lending, and treasury management. Its revenue model is driven by net interest income from loans and deposits, supplemented by fee-based services. The bank differentiates itself through personalized customer relationships and localized decision-making, catering to small businesses and individual clients. Operating in a competitive regional banking sector, United Security Bancshares maintains a niche presence by emphasizing agility and responsiveness to local market needs. Its conservative underwriting and strong deposit base contribute to stable performance, though its scale limits broader market penetration compared to larger national competitors.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, United Security Bancshares reported revenue of $48.6 million and net income of $14.8 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 30.4%. The company’s diluted EPS stood at $0.86, supported by disciplined cost management and stable interest income. Operating cash flow of $19.6 million indicates healthy liquidity generation, with no reported capital expenditures, suggesting minimal reinvestment needs during the period.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company demonstrates solid earnings power, with net income representing a significant portion of revenue. Its capital efficiency is evident in the absence of capital expenditures, allowing retained earnings to bolster financial flexibility. The diluted EPS of $0.86 reflects effective utilization of its 17.2 million outstanding shares, though further analysis of return on equity and assets would provide deeper insights into long-term capital allocation.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

United Security Bancshares maintains a strong balance sheet, with $56.2 million in cash and equivalents providing ample liquidity. Total debt of $14.7 million is modest relative to cash reserves, indicating low leverage and conservative financial management. The company’s asset-light structure and lack of significant liabilities suggest robust financial health, though detailed asset quality metrics would further clarify risk exposure.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company’s growth appears steady but unspectacular, with no explicit capital expenditures signaling limited near-term expansion. Its dividend policy is shareholder-friendly, distributing $0.48 per share, which aligns with its earnings retention strategy. Future growth may depend on organic loan portfolio expansion or strategic acquisitions, though current trends emphasize stability over aggressive scaling.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization implied by its outstanding shares, United Security Bancshares trades at a P/E ratio derived from its $0.86 EPS, though the exact multiple depends on the current share price. Investors likely value the company for its profitability and conservative approach, though regional banking sector headwinds could temper expectations for outsized returns.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

United Security Bancshares benefits from its community-focused model, which fosters customer loyalty and mitigates competition from larger banks. Its strong liquidity and low debt position it well to navigate economic uncertainty. However, reliance on regional economic conditions and limited diversification may constrain long-term upside. The outlook remains stable, with incremental growth likely tied to local market opportunities.

Sources

Company filings (CIK: 0001137547), disclosed financials for FY 2024

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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