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Intrinsic ValueUK Mortgages Ltd (UKML.L)

Previous Close£78.90
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
£78.90

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

UK Mortgages Ltd is a closed-ended investment company specializing in UK residential mortgages, offering shareholders stable income returns through conservative leverage strategies. The company focuses on diversified portfolios of loans secured against UK residential properties, managed by TwentyFour Asset Management LLP. Operating in the asset management sector, it targets income-oriented investors seeking exposure to the UK mortgage market, leveraging its subsidiaries like Cornhill Mortgages No.1 Limited and Malt Hill No.1 Plc for structured financing. Its niche positioning allows it to capitalize on the stability of UK residential property while mitigating risks through diversified holdings and professional portfolio management. The firm’s reliance on conservative leverage distinguishes it from higher-risk mortgage investment vehicles, appealing to investors prioritizing predictable cash flows over aggressive growth.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2021, UK Mortgages reported revenue of 13.6 million GBp but posted a net loss of 1.1 million GBp, reflecting challenges in profitability. The diluted EPS of -0.0041 GBp underscores these pressures, though the operating cash flow of 342.0 million GBp suggests robust underlying cash generation from its mortgage portfolio, offsetting capital expenditure requirements, which were negligible.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is tied to its mortgage portfolio performance, with operating cash flow significantly exceeding reported net income, indicating non-cash adjustments or leverage costs. Capital efficiency is moderated by its conservative leverage approach, balancing income stability with manageable debt levels, though the negative net income highlights margin compression or one-time impairments.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

UK Mortgages holds 65.7 million GBp in cash against total debt of 1.22 billion GBp, reflecting a leveraged but liquid position. The debt load is structured against its mortgage assets, aligning with its income-focused strategy. The absence of capital expenditures suggests a mature portfolio with limited reinvestment needs, supporting dividend distributions.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Despite a net loss, the company maintained a dividend of 29.03 GBp per share, emphasizing its income mandate. Growth is likely constrained by its conservative leverage model, with performance hinging on UK housing market stability rather than aggressive expansion. The dividend yield remains a key attraction for shareholders, though sustainability depends on cash flow resilience.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market cap is not disclosed, but the beta of 0.87 suggests moderate sensitivity to broader market movements. Investors likely value the stock for its dividend yield and exposure to UK mortgages, though profitability challenges may weigh on premium potential. The focus remains on income stability rather than capital appreciation.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

UK Mortgages’ strategic advantage lies in its specialized, conservatively managed mortgage portfolio, offering predictable returns in a stable asset class. The outlook depends on UK housing market trends and interest rate environments, with risks including credit quality deterioration. Its disciplined leverage and income focus position it well for risk-averse investors, though profitability improvements are needed to enhance long-term appeal.

Sources

Company description, financial data provided

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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