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Intrinsic ValueUni-Select Inc. (UNS.TO)

Previous Close$47.95
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$47.95

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Uni-Select Inc. is a leading distributor of automotive refinish and industrial coatings, as well as aftermarket and OEM parts, operating across North America and the U.K. The company serves a diverse customer base through its three core segments: FinishMaster U.S., Canadian Automotive Group, and GSF Car Parts U.K. With 15 distribution centers and 390 company-owned stores under well-established brands like BUMPER TO BUMPER and FINISHMASTER, Uni-Select has built a strong logistical and retail footprint. Its revenue model hinges on wholesale distribution, retail sales, and value-added services, positioning it as a key intermediary between manufacturers and repair shops. The company competes in the fragmented auto parts sector, leveraging scale, brand recognition, and a multi-channel approach to maintain its market share. While facing competition from larger players and e-commerce disruptors, Uni-Select’s regional expertise and specialized product offerings provide a defensible niche.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2022, Uni-Select reported revenue of CAD 1.73 billion, with net income of CAD 65.0 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 3.8%. Operating cash flow stood at CAD 178.1 million, underscoring solid cash generation capabilities. Capital expenditures were modest at CAD 19.7 million, indicating efficient asset utilization and a focus on maintaining existing infrastructure rather than aggressive expansion.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company delivered diluted EPS of CAD 1.32, supported by steady demand in its core markets. Operating cash flow conversion was robust, with free cash flow after capex reaching CAD 158.4 million. This demonstrates Uni-Select’s ability to translate top-line performance into meaningful cash returns, though its beta of 1.56 suggests higher volatility compared to the broader market.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Uni-Select’s balance sheet shows CAD 23.9 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of CAD 330.7 million, indicating a manageable leverage position. The company’s liquidity appears adequate, with operating cash flow comfortably covering interest obligations. Its asset-light model and working capital efficiency contribute to a stable financial structure, though further debt reduction could improve resilience in cyclical downturns.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Uni-Select’s growth is tied to automotive aftermarket trends, which remain stable but face long-term disruption risks from electrification. The company paid a dividend of CAD 4.98 per share in FY 2022, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns. However, future growth may hinge on strategic acquisitions or organic market share gains in its core segments, particularly in the U.K. and industrial coatings verticals.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of CAD 2.10 billion, Uni-Select trades at a P/E multiple of approximately 32.3x based on FY 2022 earnings. This premium suggests investor confidence in its niche positioning and cash flow stability, though the high beta indicates sensitivity to macroeconomic cycles. The stock’s performance will likely depend on execution in competitive regional markets and margin preservation.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Uni-Select benefits from its diversified geographic footprint, strong brand equity, and entrenched relationships with repair shops and suppliers. Near-term challenges include inflationary pressures and supply chain normalization, but its focus on high-margin segments like refinish coatings provides a buffer. The company’s outlook remains cautiously optimistic, with opportunities to consolidate regional markets and optimize its hybrid wholesale-retail model.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

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