investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueUrban Outfitters, Inc. (UOF.DE)

Previous Close20.78
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
20.78

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2025 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Urban Outfitters, Inc. operates as a lifestyle retail conglomerate targeting distinct demographic segments through its diversified brand portfolio. The company's core revenue model hinges on both direct-to-consumer retail and wholesale operations, with brands like Urban Outfitters, Anthropologie, Free People, and Nuuly catering to young adults and women aged 18-45. Urban Outfitters focuses on trend-driven apparel and home goods, while Anthropologie emphasizes bohemian-inspired fashion and home décor. Free People targets contemporary women with casual and activewear, and Nuuly disrupts traditional retail with a subscription-based rental service. The company maintains a strong omnichannel presence, leveraging physical stores, e-commerce, and mobile platforms to enhance customer engagement. Its market positioning balances fast-fashion accessibility with curated, aspirational aesthetics, differentiating it from mass-market competitors. The wholesale segment, primarily under the Free People brand, extends its reach into department stores, amplifying revenue streams. Urban Outfitters' ability to adapt to shifting consumer preferences, particularly in sustainability and digital commerce, reinforces its relevance in the competitive apparel retail sector.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Urban Outfitters reported revenue of €5.55 billion for FY2025, with net income of €402.5 million, reflecting a diluted EPS of €4.26. Operating cash flow stood at €502.8 million, while capital expenditures totaled €182.6 million, indicating disciplined reinvestment. The absence of dividends suggests a focus on growth initiatives rather than shareholder payouts. The company's profitability metrics demonstrate resilience in a challenging retail environment.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's earnings power is underscored by its diversified brand portfolio and omnichannel strategy, which mitigate reliance on any single revenue stream. Capital efficiency is evident in its ability to generate substantial operating cash flow relative to capital expenditures, supporting organic growth and strategic investments in digital transformation and store optimization.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Urban Outfitters maintains a balanced financial position with €290.5 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of €1.1 billion. The leverage ratio appears manageable given its operating cash flow generation. The lack of dividend obligations provides flexibility to prioritize debt management or reinvestment in high-return projects.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is driven by brand expansion, e-commerce penetration, and the Nuuly subscription service, which taps into the rising demand for sustainable fashion alternatives. The company has eschewed dividends, opting instead to allocate capital toward growth initiatives, including store refreshes and technology upgrades, aligning with its target demographic's evolving preferences.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of €1.93 billion and a beta of 1.49, Urban Outfitters is viewed as a higher-risk, growth-oriented play in the apparel retail sector. Investors likely anticipate continued digital growth and margin improvement, though macroeconomic headwinds and competitive pressures may temper expectations.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Urban Outfitters' strategic advantages lie in its multi-brand approach, agile supply chain, and strong digital footprint. The outlook hinges on its ability to sustain relevance among younger consumers, capitalize on the rental economy via Nuuly, and navigate inflationary pressures. Success will depend on balancing innovation with operational efficiency in an increasingly digital-first retail landscape.

Sources

Company filings, market data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047204820492050

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount