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Intrinsic Value of Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC)

Previous Close$83.52
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$83.52

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation operates in the hospitality and leisure sector, specializing in vacation ownership and exchange services. The company generates revenue primarily through the sale of vacation ownership interests (VOIs), management fees for operating resorts, and exchange services that allow owners to trade their timeshare usage. Its portfolio includes well-known brands like Marriott Vacation Club, Sheraton Vacation Club, and Westin Vacation Club, leveraging Marriott International's global reputation for quality and service. The company competes in a niche but growing segment of the travel industry, catering to affluent consumers seeking flexible, high-end vacation experiences. Its market position is strengthened by its association with Marriott’s brand equity, extensive resort network, and integrated exchange platform, which differentiates it from smaller, regional competitors. Despite cyclical demand tied to discretionary spending, the company maintains a resilient business model with recurring revenue streams from management fees and financing income on VOI sales.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, Marriott Vacations reported revenue of $4.97 billion, with net income of $218 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 4.4%. Diluted EPS stood at $5.18, indicating moderate profitability. Operating cash flow was $205 million, though capital expenditures were negligible, suggesting efficient capital allocation. The company’s revenue mix benefits from high-margin financing income and management fees, offsetting cyclical VOI sales volatility.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is underpinned by its ability to monetize VOI sales through financing and recurring management fees. However, the capital-intensive nature of resort development and maintenance limits free cash flow generation. With $197 million in cash and $5.23 billion in total debt, leverage remains elevated, though manageable given stable cash flows from operations and a diversified revenue base.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Marriott Vacations’ balance sheet shows $197 million in cash against $5.23 billion in total debt, indicating a leveraged position. The absence of capital expenditures in FY 2024 suggests disciplined spending, but long-term financial health depends on sustaining VOI sales and managing debt maturities. The company’s liquidity appears adequate, though refinancing risks persist in a higher-rate environment.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is driven by expansion in high-demand vacation markets and cross-selling opportunities within Marriott’s ecosystem. The company paid a dividend of $3.13 per share, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns. However, dividend sustainability hinges on maintaining profitability and cash flow stability amid economic uncertainties affecting discretionary travel spending.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market likely values VAC based on its premium brand positioning and recurring revenue streams, though high leverage and cyclicality temper multiples. Investors may focus on VOI sales recovery and debt reduction as key catalysts. Current EPS of $5.18 suggests a P/E ratio in line with leisure sector peers, but further upside depends on operational execution and macroeconomic resilience.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Marriott Vacations benefits from its association with Marriott’s global brand, a diversified resort portfolio, and an integrated exchange platform. Near-term challenges include navigating interest rate impacts on financing income and consumer spending trends. Long-term prospects remain favorable, driven by demand for experiential travel and the company’s ability to innovate in vacation ownership models.

Sources

10-K filing, company investor relations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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