investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueVia Renewables, Inc. (VIASP)

Previous Close$25.51
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$25.51

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Via Renewables, Inc. operates in the competitive retail energy sector, specializing in providing renewable energy solutions to residential and commercial customers. The company generates revenue primarily through fixed-rate and variable-rate electricity and natural gas plans, leveraging its expertise in energy procurement and customer service. Its market position is bolstered by a focus on sustainability, offering green energy options that appeal to environmentally conscious consumers while maintaining competitive pricing in deregulated markets. Via Renewables differentiates itself through a vertically integrated model, combining energy supply with value-added services such as energy efficiency programs. This approach allows the company to capture margin opportunities across the energy value chain while mitigating volatility risks through hedging strategies. The firm operates in highly fragmented regional markets, where its scalable platform and customer-centric offerings provide a defensible niche against larger utilities and independent providers. As regulatory tailwinds favor renewable adoption, Via Renewables is well-positioned to capitalize on the transition toward cleaner energy alternatives in its operational territories.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Via Renewables reported $398.9 million in revenue for the period, with net income of $61.1 million, reflecting a robust 15.3% net margin. Diluted EPS stood at $18.59, demonstrating strong earnings conversion. Operating cash flow of $50.5 million and minimal capital expenditures ($1.6 million) indicate capital-light operations and efficient working capital management, supporting high cash generation relative to revenue.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company exhibits substantial earnings power, with its $61.1 million net income translating to an 18.6% return on equity based on current share count. Zero debt on the balance sheet amplifies capital efficiency, allowing full earnings retention or distribution. Operating cash flow coverage of earnings at 0.83x suggests quality profitability, though some divergence from net income warrants monitoring of non-cash items.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Via Renewables maintains a conservative financial structure with $53.2 million in cash and no debt, yielding exceptional liquidity. The pristine balance sheet provides strategic flexibility for potential acquisitions or shareholder returns. Current assets comfortably exceed all liabilities, with negative net debt reinforcing the company's ability to weather commodity price volatility or customer churn risks inherent in the retail energy sector.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

While specific growth metrics are unavailable, the company's $2.93 per share dividend represents a substantial payout ratio of 15.8% of revenue, signaling confidence in cash flow sustainability. The capital-light model and zero leverage position support continued dividend stability. Future growth may hinge on customer acquisition in existing markets rather than capital-intensive expansion, given the current financial policy orientation.

Valuation And Market Expectations

At 1.8x price-to-sales (based on $398.9 million revenue and current market cap) and a P/E of approximately 10x (using $18.59 EPS), the valuation appears modest relative to energy retail peers. The market likely prices in regulatory risks and customer concentration concerns despite the strong profitability metrics, with expectations balanced between dividend sustainability and limited top-line growth prospects.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Via Renewables' key advantages include its debt-free structure, renewable energy focus aligning with regulatory trends, and operational efficiency in customer acquisition. The outlook remains stable, with the dividend serving as a key investor attraction. Potential upside exists from increased renewable adoption, though the company faces margin pressure from energy price volatility and competition in its regional markets.

Sources

Company 10-K filings, investor relations materials

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount