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Intrinsic ValueVifor Pharma AG (VIFN.SW)

Previous CloseCHF166.15
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
CHF166.15

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Vifor Pharma AG is a Switzerland-based pharmaceutical company specializing in iron deficiency, nephrology, and rare renal disease therapies. Its core revenue model relies on the development, manufacturing, and commercialization of high-value specialty drugs, including Ferinject/Injectafer for iron deficiency anemia and Mircera for chronic kidney disease-related anemia. The company operates in competitive therapeutic areas with strong intellectual property protection, leveraging strategic partnerships with Fresenius Kabi and Zeria Pharmaceutical to expand market reach. Vifor Pharma maintains a differentiated position through its focus on niche indications, such as hyperkalemia (Veltassa) and secondary hyperparathyroidism (Rayaldee), where it faces limited competition. Its pipeline, including investigational drugs like Vadadustat and Avacopan, targets unmet medical needs in renal and rare diseases, reinforcing long-term growth potential. The company’s global footprint, particularly in Europe and the U.S., supports its market leadership in intravenous iron therapies and ESAs, though it faces regulatory and pricing pressures common in the pharmaceutical industry.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2021, Vifor Pharma reported revenue of CHF 1.82 billion, with net income of CHF 265.4 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 14.5%. The company generated robust operating cash flow of CHF 527.4 million, underscoring efficient operations. Capital expenditures totaled CHF 218.7 million, indicating continued investment in production and R&D. Diluted EPS stood at CHF 4.09, demonstrating steady profitability.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Vifor Pharma’s earnings power is driven by its high-margin specialty pharmaceuticals, particularly Ferinject and Mircera. The company’s capital efficiency is evident in its strong cash conversion, with operating cash flow covering capital expenditures and debt obligations. Its R&D investments, such as in Vadadustat and Avacopan, aim to sustain long-term earnings growth, though pipeline success remains a key variable.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Vifor Pharma maintained a solid balance sheet in FY 2021, with CHF 993.6 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of CHF 587.1 million, indicating ample liquidity. The low leverage ratio supports financial flexibility for strategic initiatives, including potential M&A or further pipeline development. The company’s financial health is further reinforced by its consistent cash flow generation.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Vifor Pharma’s growth is supported by its core iron therapy franchise and expanding nephrology portfolio. The company paid a dividend of CHF 21.56 per share in FY 2021, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns. Future growth hinges on pipeline advancements, particularly in rare renal diseases, and geographic expansion, though competitive and regulatory risks persist.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Market expectations for Vifor Pharma are tied to its ability to sustain growth in its core therapies and successfully commercialize its pipeline. The company’s valuation likely reflects its niche market positioning and cash flow stability, though investor sentiment may be influenced by pipeline updates and integration post-acquisition by CSL Behring.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Vifor Pharma’s strategic advantages include its focus on high-barrier specialty drugs and strong partnerships. The acquisition by CSL Behring provides additional resources for global expansion and R&D. The outlook remains positive, contingent on successful pipeline execution and maintaining leadership in iron deficiency and nephrology markets, though industry-wide pricing pressures pose challenges.

Sources

Company annual report, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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