investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Valueva-Q-tec AG (VQT.DE)

Previous Close25.10
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
25.10

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2023 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

va-Q-tec AG operates in the industrial machinery sector, specializing in high-performance thermal insulation solutions. The company’s core offerings include vacuum insulation panels (VIPs) and phase change materials (PCMs), which cater to diverse industries such as healthcare, logistics, food, and construction. Its thermal packaging and energy storage components are critical for temperature-sensitive supply chains, positioning va-Q-tec as a niche leader in energy-efficient insulation technologies. The company serves a global clientele, with a strong presence in the EU and expanding international markets. va-Q-tec’s integrated approach—combining product manufacturing, container rentals, and thermal consulting—enhances its value proposition. Its solutions are vital for ultra-low temperature applications in laboratories, refrigeration units, and building insulation, addressing stringent regulatory and efficiency demands. Despite competition from traditional insulation providers, va-Q-tec’s proprietary technologies and focus on sustainability differentiate it in a growing market driven by energy conservation trends.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2023, va-Q-tec reported revenue of €106.1 million, reflecting its market reach but underscoring challenges as net income stood at a loss of €22.7 million. The negative operating cash flow of €4.9 million and capital expenditures of €9.7 million indicate ongoing investments, though profitability pressures persist. The diluted EPS of -€1.54 highlights near-term earnings challenges amid operational scaling.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s negative net income and EPS suggest limited earnings power currently, likely due to high R&D and commercialization costs for its advanced insulation technologies. Capital efficiency is strained, with significant expenditures outpacing operating cash flow generation. However, its asset-light rental model for thermal containers could improve returns over time.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

va-Q-tec’s balance sheet shows €17.1 million in cash against €62.0 million in total debt, indicating moderate liquidity constraints. The debt level warrants monitoring, though its niche market position and intellectual property may support future financing. The absence of dividends aligns with its reinvestment-focused strategy.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is driven by demand for energy-efficient solutions, but FY 2023 results reflect execution risks. The company prioritizes expansion over shareholder returns, evidenced by a zero-dividend policy and reinvestment in capacity and technology. Long-term trends in sustainability and cold chain logistics could bolster growth if operational efficiencies improve.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of €370 million and a beta of 2.105, va-Q-tec is viewed as a high-risk, high-reward play on sustainable insulation. The valuation likely incorporates growth potential, though profitability concerns persist. Investors appear to bet on its technology leadership despite near-term losses.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

va-Q-tec’s proprietary insulation technologies and diversified applications provide strategic moats. The outlook hinges on scaling production and achieving profitability while capitalizing on global energy efficiency trends. Execution risks remain, but its innovation pipeline and regulatory tailwinds could drive long-term success.

Sources

Company filings, market data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045204620472048

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount