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Intrinsic ValueZacatecas Silver Corp. (ZAC.V)

Previous Close$0.11
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$0.11

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Zacatecas Silver Corp. operates as a junior mineral exploration company focused on acquiring and developing silver and gold properties in Mexico's prolific mining districts. The company's core revenue model is predicated on mineral discovery and resource development, with the ultimate objective of advancing projects to production or securing strategic partnerships through joint ventures or outright acquisition. Zacatecas Silver maintains a focused portfolio with two primary assets: the Zacatecas silver project spanning 7,826 hectares in the historic Zacatecas State, and the Esperanza gold project covering 14,338 hectares in Morelos State. The company operates within the highly competitive precious metals exploration sector, where success depends on technical expertise, capital allocation efficiency, and strategic land positioning. Its market position is that of an early-stage explorer leveraging geological potential in mineral-rich jurisdictions, competing for investor capital against numerous junior mining peers while navigating the inherent risks of mineral discovery and development timelines.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

As a pre-revenue exploration company, Zacatecas Silver generated no operating income during the period, reflecting its developmental stage focused entirely on mineral property evaluation. The company reported a net loss of approximately CAD 3.56 million, consistent with the capital-intensive nature of early-stage exploration activities where expenditures precede revenue generation. Operating cash flow was negative CAD 2.41 million, indicating significant cash consumption through administrative costs and exploration programs without corresponding monetization of assets.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company currently demonstrates negative earnings power, with diluted earnings per share of CAD -0.0316, as substantial investments in exploration have yet to yield commercially viable resources or production capabilities. Capital efficiency metrics are challenging to assess given the exploratory nature of operations, with expenditures directed toward geological surveys, drilling programs, and property maintenance rather than revenue-generating assets. The absence of capital expenditures in the reporting period suggests a potential pause or re-evaluation of exploration intensity.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Zacatecas Silver maintains a minimal debt profile with no reported total debt, though this is offset by concerning liquidity constraints with cash and equivalents of only CAD 6,719. This limited cash position relative to ongoing operating losses indicates imminent funding requirements through equity issuance or strategic financing to sustain exploration activities. The balance sheet reflects the typical financial structure of a junior explorer with intangible mineral property assets outweighing liquid resources.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth prospects are entirely dependent on successful exploration outcomes and the ability to advance mineral properties along the development curve. The company does not pay dividends, consistent with its developmental stage where all available capital is reinvested into exploration programs. Future growth trajectories will be determined by drilling results, resource estimates, and the company's capacity to secure additional funding for project advancement without diluting shareholder value excessively.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CAD 19 million, the market valuation primarily reflects speculative potential rather than current financial metrics. The beta of 1.408 indicates higher volatility than the broader market, typical for junior mining stocks sensitive to metal price fluctuations and exploration news. Valuation lacks conventional earnings-based metrics, instead incorporating implied optionality on mineral potential and strategic positioning in silver-focused assets.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic position hinges on its land package in established Mexican mining districts, though it faces significant challenges regarding funding sustainability. The outlook remains highly speculative, dependent on successful exploration results and favorable financing conditions. Near-term operational focus will likely center on preserving cash while advancing key projects through partnerships or targeted exploration to demonstrate resource potential and attract development capital.

Sources

Company financial statementsTSXV filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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