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Intrinsic Value of Zions Bancorporation, National Association (ZION)

Previous Close$49.47
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$49.47

VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue, mln $Initial revenue growth rate, %Variable cost ratio, %Fixed operating exp., mln $Prod. assets / Revenue, %Working capital / Revenue, %Interest rate on debt, %Initial discount rate, %Shares outstanding, mlnAdjusted equity ratioAdjusted assets / RevenueCash & ST InvestmentsTotal debt

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of 2024-12-31.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %58.756.053.551.048.746.644.542.540.638.837.235.534.032.631.229.928.627.526.325.324.323.322.421.520.7
Revenue, $68131062916312246383664653706775911105681554882158862960924013375378617130239354021214888156276919917962516244315194639163144828352590863571792918663955
Variable operating expenses, $m613295661468122174329824833569832995121399391942972664833612034840756417218418611093399140649217926172264620283675135246834345517531777264613627797559
Fixed operating expenses, $m-632-686-744-808-876-951-1031-1119-1214-1317-1429-1551-1683-1826-1981-2149-2332-2530-2745-2979-3232-3507-3805-4128-4479
Total operating expenses, $m550088801393721366321064738468801983931387251929802650543596524823926398958398801091250140416017900872261875283377235214514342010531396764572347793080
Operating income, $m13141749237532714541632187911217616763229063103941685554697312895521123638158609201710254370318173394863486342594668722057870875
EBITDA, $m14231923264836895172726010166141641959526889365694926965750869061137861476001897302417433053933826314756055866647183538734151054782
Interest expense (income), $m1911752260638765737842212236175762494834990484936642489952120473159633209348271830349602445515562761704878875760107965613211641605232
Earnings before tax, $m1122-3-230-605-1197-2101-3445-5400-8185-12084-17454-24739-34483-47345-64111-85709-113221-147892-191145-244587-310015-389419-484987-599106-734357
Tax expense, $m303000000000000000000000000
Net income, $m819-3-230-605-1197-2101-3445-5400-8185-12084-17454-24739-34483-47345-64111-85709-113221-147892-191145-244587-310015-389419-484987-599106-734357

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m0000000000000000000000000
Total assets, $m4230966008101298153002227574333514481843686630965578134065118387322492301334011544278735808844754445397047931236905515625878195735832432031229984065366926264458339853803160
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m4230966008101298153002227574333514481843686630965578134065118387322492301334011544278735808844754445397047931236905515625878195735832432031229984065366926264458339853803160
Average production assets, $m38225963915113822205593012943529620298722912111216610822515030174040000652476068155287671311173981411613176824221970522708705331474440275824860479
Working capital, $m-1703-2657-4078-6160-9162-13427-19398-27642-38872-53971-74023-100334-134465-178256-233850-303722-390692-497949-629061-787986-979079-1207088-1477159-1794823-2165989
Total debt, $m438096513896900143433210548305894439390623698874751121231716605892248802301183539908165233691679573987400441113788114069021176219552189401226991390330290944013078948428575
Total liabilities, $m380785940791169137702204817300163433659617967869020120658616548582243071300610439850855227960679000887343131113215014063290176162242188828126985659330233634012505848422844
Total equity, $m423166011013015300227573335148184686639655813406518387324923033401244278758088475444597047912369061562588195735824320312998407366926344583405380316
Debt-to-equity ratio1.1306.6376.4306.3336.3036.3136.3486.3996.4596.5256.5936.6636.7336.8026.8706.9377.0027.0667.1287.1887.2467.3027.3567.4087.459
Adjusted equity ratio0.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.1000.100

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m819-3-230-605-1197-2101-3445-5400-8185-12084-17454-24739-34483-47345-64111-85709-113221-147892-191145-244587-310015-389419-484987-599106-734357
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m110175272418631939137619882832398355307585102811377818265239623112140033510236445780742100322123685151358183908
Funds from operations, $m92917142-187-565-1162-2069-3412-5353-8101-11924-17154-24202-33567-45846-61748-82099-107859-140123-180130-229273-289097-361302-447748-550449
Change in working capital, $m-630-954-1421-2081-3002-4265-5971-8244-11230-15100-20052-26311-34131-43791-55595-69872-86970-107257-131112-158925-191092-228009-270071-317664-371166
Cash from operations, $m155911251463189524373103390248325877699981289157992910223974881244871-602-9011-21205-38181-61087-91231-130084-179283
Maintenance CAPEX, $m-110-175-272-418-631-939-1376-1988-2832-3983-5530-7585-10281-13778-18265-23962-31121-40033-51023-64457-80742-100322-123685-151358-183908
New CAPEX, $m-1414-2141-3188-4671-6737-9570-13400-18500-25200-33883-44996-59042-76590-98266-124754-156792-195161-240685-294215-356628-428811-511653-606039-712838-832896
Total CAPEX, $m-1524-2315-3460-5089-7368-10509-14775-20488-28032-37866-50526-66627-86871-112044-143020-180753-226282-280717-345238-421086-509552-611975-729724-864196-1016804
Free cash flow, $m36-1190-1997-3194-4931-7406-10874-15655-22155-30868-42398-57470-76942-101821-133271-172630-221411-281319-354249-442291-547733-673062-820955-994280-1196087
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $m03560552683641238818000257063613450050683759220612282716172421059627136834619143744554774667993183706110224061239438149181117833582118064
Retained Cash Flow, $m-39907-2370-3529-5170-7457-10594-14833-20479-27895-37507-49808-65357-84781-108776-138097-173561-216034-266426-325682-394770-474673-566375-670856-789077-921976
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m41800
Cash available for distribution, $m1929000000000000000000000000
Discount rate, %4.905.155.405.675.966.256.576.897.247.607.988.388.809.249.7010.1910.7011.2311.7912.3813.0013.6514.3315.0515.80
PV of cash for distribution, $m1839000000000000000000000000
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %1005934201274321100000000000000