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Stock Analysis & ValuationOK Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (001223.SZ)

Professional Stock Screener
Previous Close
$54.14
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Moderate
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)37.32-31
Intrinsic value (DCF)15.89-71
Graham-Dodd Method18.24-66
Graham Formula19.33-64

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

OK Science and Technology Co., Ltd. is a specialized Chinese industrial machinery manufacturer focused on tissue paper production equipment and converting machinery. Founded in 2011 and headquartered in Jiujiang, China, the company designs and manufactures comprehensive solutions for tissue paper production, including machines for facial tissues, napkins, toilet paper, kitchen towels, and pocket tissues. The company expanded its product portfolio during the pandemic to include disposable surgical mask making machines and KN95 mask making machines, demonstrating adaptability to market demands. Operating in the industrials sector, OK Science and Technology serves the global tissue paper manufacturing industry with integrated machinery solutions that cover the entire production process from paper making to final packaging. The company's expertise in tissue paper machinery positions it as a key supplier to China's massive paper products industry while also competing in international markets. With its listing on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, OK Science and Technology represents an important player in China's industrial machinery ecosystem, leveraging the country's manufacturing capabilities to serve both domestic and international clients in the tissue paper and personal protective equipment sectors.

Investment Summary

OK Science and Technology presents a mixed investment profile with several concerning financial indicators. The company's negative operating cash flow of -39 million CNY and substantial capital expenditures of -134 million CNY raise liquidity concerns despite maintaining a reasonable cash position of 482 million CNY. While the company achieved positive net income of 34 million CNY with diluted EPS of 0.51 CNY, the cash flow situation suggests potential operational challenges or aggressive expansion. The modest market capitalization of 3.77 billion CNY and beta of 0.751 indicate lower volatility relative to the market, which may appeal to risk-averse investors. However, the negative cash flow from operations coupled with high capital expenditures warrants careful monitoring of the company's ability to fund ongoing operations and growth initiatives. The dividend payment of 0.10714 CNY per share provides some income component, but sustainability may be questionable given the current cash flow profile.

Competitive Analysis

OK Science and Technology competes in the specialized tissue paper machinery market, where competitive advantage is built on technological expertise, manufacturing efficiency, and cost competitiveness. The company's positioning as a Chinese manufacturer provides inherent advantages in production costs and proximity to one of the world's largest tissue paper markets. However, the competitive landscape for tissue paper machinery is dominated by established global players with stronger technological capabilities and broader international presence. The company's expansion into mask-making machinery during the pandemic demonstrated strategic flexibility but also highlighted its reliance on temporary market opportunities rather than sustained core competency development. OK Science's competitive positioning is challenged by larger international competitors who offer more comprehensive solutions, superior after-sales service, and stronger R&D capabilities. The company's moderate scale (666 million shares outstanding) limits its ability to invest in significant technological innovation compared to global leaders. While cost competitiveness remains a key advantage in serving price-sensitive markets, the company faces pressure from both higher-end European manufacturers and lower-cost domestic competitors. The negative operating cash flow suggests potential competitive pressures affecting profitability or inefficient operations that could undermine long-term competitiveness. The company's future success will depend on its ability to leverage Chinese manufacturing advantages while developing distinctive technological capabilities that differentiate it from both domestic and international competitors.

Major Competitors

  • Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co., Ltd. (603308.SS): Anhui Yingliu is a Chinese competitor specializing in hydraulic components and systems used in various machinery applications. While not a direct competitor in tissue paper machinery, it represents competition in the broader Chinese industrial machinery sector. The company benefits from strong domestic manufacturing capabilities and cost advantages similar to OK Science. However, its focus on hydraulic systems rather than complete machinery solutions limits direct competition while still competing for similar manufacturing resources and customer relationships within China's industrial sector.
  • Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (000157.SZ): Zoomlion is a major Chinese heavy machinery manufacturer with significantly larger scale and broader product portfolio. While not a direct competitor in tissue paper machinery, its presence in industrial machinery represents competitive pressure in terms of manufacturing capacity, technological resources, and market access. Zoomlion's extensive R&D capabilities and international presence create competitive challenges for smaller specialized manufacturers like OK Science. The company's strength in construction machinery demonstrates China's capability in heavy industrial equipment, which could potentially be leveraged into adjacent machinery segments.
  • Voith GmbH & Co. KGaA (VOW3.DE): Voith is a global leader in paper production technology and represents the high-end competition for OK Science. The German company possesses superior technological expertise, extensive R&D capabilities, and a strong global service network. Voith's paper technology division offers comprehensive solutions for tissue paper production, directly competing with OK Science's core business. While Voith commands premium pricing, OK Science competes on cost-effectiveness, particularly in price-sensitive markets. Voith's technological leadership and global presence create significant barriers for Chinese manufacturers seeking to compete in international high-end markets.
  • Metso Outotec Corporation (METSO.HE): Metso (now Metso Outotec following merger) is a Finnish industrial machinery company with strong capabilities in pulp and paper technology. The company offers advanced tissue paper production solutions and competes directly with OK Science in the global market. Metso's strengths include cutting-edge technology, sustainability-focused solutions, and comprehensive service offerings. However, OK Science competes effectively on price and customization flexibility for specific market needs. Metso's larger scale and technological sophistication represent significant competitive challenges for OK Science, particularly in markets where technology and reliability are prioritized over cost.
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