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Stock Analysis & ValuationJiangsu Leike Defense Technology Co., Ltd. (002413.SZ)

Professional Stock Screener
Previous Close
$13.33
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Low
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)26.4298
Intrinsic value (DCF)2.00-85
Graham-Dodd Method0.75-94
Graham Formulan/a

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Jiangsu Leike Defense Technology Co., Ltd. is a specialized Chinese technology company operating at the intersection of defense electronics, satellite applications, and intelligent systems. Founded in 2002 and headquartered in Beijing, the company has transformed from its origins as Jiangsu Changfa Refrigeration into a sophisticated defense technology provider. Leike Defense's core business encompasses the research, development, manufacturing, and sale of advanced radar systems including remote sensing observation radar, area surveillance radar, and safety monitoring radar. The company also develops satellite navigation technologies such as multi-frequency satellite navigation baseband processing chips, specialized terminals, and navigation simulators. Additional product lines include intelligent control systems, secure storage solutions, intelligent networking products, and smart ammunition. Operating in China's strategically important defense technology sector, Leike Defense serves both military and commercial markets with its integrated electronic systems. The company's diverse technological portfolio positions it as a key player in China's domestic defense supply chain, particularly in electronic warfare, surveillance, and navigation systems that support national security infrastructure.

Investment Summary

Jiangsu Leike Defense Technology presents a high-risk investment profile characterized by significant financial challenges despite its strategic positioning in China's defense sector. The company reported a substantial net loss of -396 million CNY for the period, with negative EPS of -0.3, indicating serious profitability concerns. While the company maintains a moderate market capitalization of 7.14 billion CNY and generated positive operating cash flow of 254 million CNY, its negative earnings and lack of dividend payments raise red flags for income-focused investors. The low beta of 0.285 suggests relative insulation from broader market volatility, potentially appealing to risk-averse investors seeking defense sector exposure. However, the combination of negative profitability, high specialization in defense technology, and dependence on Chinese government contracts creates substantial investment risk. The company's future prospects hinge on its ability to secure large defense contracts and improve operational efficiency in a competitive market.

Competitive Analysis

Jiangsu Leike Defense Technology operates in a highly specialized segment of China's defense technology market, competing primarily with state-owned enterprises and larger private defense contractors. The company's competitive positioning is defined by its niche focus on integrated electronic systems, particularly radar and satellite navigation technologies. Leike's competitive advantage lies in its specialized technical expertise across multiple defense electronics domains, allowing it to offer integrated solutions rather than standalone products. However, the company faces significant scale disadvantages compared to larger competitors like China Aerospace Science and Industry Corporation (CASIC) and China Electronics Technology Group Corporation (CETC), which benefit from greater R&D budgets and established government relationships. Leike's transformation from a refrigeration company to defense technology provider demonstrates adaptability but also raises questions about core competency depth compared to lifelong defense specialists. The company's product diversification across radar systems, satellite navigation, and intelligent control provides some risk mitigation but may also dilute focus. In China's defense procurement ecosystem, Leike likely occupies a secondary supplier role, dependent on subcontracts from primary contractors. The company's financial struggles (-396 million CNY net loss) further weaken its competitive position, limiting its ability to invest in next-generation technologies or compete on price for large contracts. Success will depend on securing niche positions where its integrated solutions offer unique value versus larger but more fragmented competitors.

Major Competitors

  • China Spacesat Co., Ltd. (600118.SS): China Spacesat dominates China's satellite technology sector with strong government backing and comprehensive satellite system capabilities. As a subsidiary of China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation, it benefits from massive R&D resources and priority access to national space programs. However, its state-owned structure may lack the agility and innovation focus of smaller private companies like Leike Defense. China Spacesat's scale gives it significant advantages in satellite navigation and remote sensing, directly competing with Leike's satellite application business.
  • Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co., Ltd. (002465.SZ): Hikvision is the global leader in video surveillance technology with massive scale and international reach. Its strengths include advanced AI-powered surveillance systems and strong commercial market presence. However, Hikvision faces significant international sanctions and restrictions that limit its defense sector opportunities. While both companies operate in surveillance technology, Hikvision focuses on commercial applications whereas Leike specializes in military-grade radar and defense systems, creating differentiated market positions.
  • Shenzhen Coship Electronics Co., Ltd. (002415.SZ): Coship Electronics specializes in digital television and satellite communication equipment with strong manufacturing capabilities. The company has extensive experience in satellite receiver technology and set-top boxes. However, Coship primarily serves consumer markets rather than defense applications, creating limited direct competition with Leike's core defense business. Coship's financial instability and narrower technological focus make it less threatening to Leike's specialized defense electronics position.
  • CETC Digital Technology Co., Ltd. (600990.SS): As part of the massive China Electronics Technology Group, CETC Digital Technology possesses overwhelming advantages in defense electronics R&D and government contracts. The company's strengths include comprehensive product portfolios and deep integration with China's military-industrial complex. However, its bureaucratic structure may create opportunities for more agile competitors like Leike in specialized niches. CETC's scale and resources make it a dominant force in radar and electronic warfare systems, directly challenging Leike's core business areas.
  • Beijing Aerospace Changfeng Co., Ltd. (000901.SZ): Beijing Aerospace Changfeng specializes in aerospace technology and defense equipment with strong technical capabilities in precision manufacturing. The company benefits from its affiliation with China's aerospace industry but faces similar scale disadvantages against state-owned giants. Changfeng's focus on aerospace components creates some overlap with Leike's radar and navigation businesses, though with different technological emphases. Both companies operate as secondary players in a market dominated by state-owned enterprises.
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