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Stock Analysis & ValuationTianshui Zhongxing Bio-technology Co.,Ltd. (002772.SZ)

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Previous Close
$16.41
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Low
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)18.3212
Intrinsic value (DCF)5.49-67
Graham-Dodd Method2.45-85
Graham Formula2.71-83

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Tianshui Zhongxing Bio-technology Co., Ltd. is a leading Chinese agricultural technology company specializing in the research, development, production, and sale of edible fungi. Founded in 2005 and headquartered in Tianshui, China, the company has established itself as a significant player in the consumer defensive sector through its portfolio of mushroom brands including Xi Huang, Nüwa, and Zhongxing. Operating in the agricultural farm products industry, Zhongxing Bio-technology leverages advanced biotechnology to cultivate high-quality edible mushrooms, catering to China's growing demand for healthy and nutritious food products. The company's vertically integrated business model encompasses the entire value chain from research and development to production and distribution, ensuring quality control and supply chain efficiency. With China's edible fungi market experiencing steady growth driven by rising health consciousness and disposable income, Zhongxing Bio-technology is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends. The company's strategic location in Tianshui provides access to favorable growing conditions and regional agricultural resources, supporting its competitive position in the rapidly expanding Chinese agricultural technology sector.

Investment Summary

Tianshui Zhongxing Bio-technology presents a mixed investment profile with several notable strengths and risks. The company demonstrates solid profitability with net income of CNY 128 million on revenue of CNY 1.94 billion, translating to a healthy net margin of approximately 6.6%. The company's strong operating cash flow of CNY 494.5 million and substantial cash position of CNY 1.19 billion provide financial stability and flexibility for future investments. However, investors should note the relatively high total debt of CNY 1.68 billion, which represents a significant leverage position. The beta of 0.602 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market, which may appeal to risk-averse investors in the consumer defensive sector. The generous dividend yield supported by a CNY 0.30 per share payout indicates shareholder-friendly capital allocation. Key risks include exposure to agricultural commodity price fluctuations, weather-related production uncertainties, and competitive pressures in China's fragmented edible fungi market.

Competitive Analysis

Tianshui Zhongxing Bio-technology operates in China's highly competitive edible fungi market, where it has established a niche position through technological specialization and brand development. The company's competitive advantage stems from its focus on biotechnology research and development, which enables improved mushroom varieties, enhanced cultivation efficiency, and consistent product quality. Unlike many smaller regional producers, Zhongxing Bio-technology benefits from scale advantages in production and distribution, allowing it to serve broader markets across China. The company's multiple brand strategy (Xi Huang, Nüwa, Zhongxing) enables targeted marketing to different consumer segments and price points. However, the Chinese edible fungi market remains fragmented with numerous small-scale producers, limiting pricing power and creating intense competition at the local level. The company faces challenges from larger agricultural conglomerates that have greater financial resources and distribution networks. Zhongxing Bio-technology's vertical integration provides cost control advantages but also requires significant capital investment in production facilities. The company's technological capabilities in mushroom cultivation differentiate it from traditional farmers but may be matched by other specialized biotechnology firms entering the space. Geographic concentration in Tianshui provides localized advantages but also creates regional dependency risks. The competitive landscape requires continuous innovation in cultivation techniques and product development to maintain market position against both traditional producers and emerging high-tech competitors.

Major Competitors

  • Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd. (002714.SZ): Muyuan Foods is China's largest pig breeder and pork producer, representing indirect competition through its scale in agricultural production. While not directly in the edible fungi business, Muyuan's massive scale (market cap over CNY 200 billion) and vertical integration in animal protein create competitive pressure in the broader agricultural sector. Its strengths include enormous production capacity, advanced breeding technology, and nationwide distribution. Weaknesses include vulnerability to pig disease outbreaks and commodity price cycles. Compared to Zhongxing Bio-technology, Muyuan operates at a much larger scale but in a different agricultural segment.
  • New Hope Liuhe Co., Ltd. (000876.SZ): New Hope Liuhe is a major integrated agricultural and food company with operations in animal feed, poultry, and pork production. The company represents broad agricultural competition with significant resources and market presence. Strengths include diversified agricultural operations, strong brand recognition, and extensive distribution networks. Weaknesses include exposure to volatile commodity markets and complex operational structure. While not directly competing in mushrooms, New Hope's scale and agricultural expertise could enable entry into edible fungi if market opportunities arise, posing potential future competition to Zhongxing Bio-technology.
  • Shandong Longda Meat Foodstuff Co., Ltd. (603363.SS): Shandong Longda specializes in meat processing and agricultural products, operating in adjacent segments of China's food industry. The company's strengths include established processing capabilities and regional market presence in Shandong province. Weaknesses include limited product diversification and regional concentration. As a food processing company, Longda represents competition in the broader consumer food market but does not directly challenge Zhongxing Bio-technology's mushroom specialization. However, both companies compete for similar retail channels and consumer spending on food products.
  • Haid Group Co., Ltd. (002311.SZ): Haid Group is a leading animal feed producer and agricultural company with significant scale and technological capabilities. The company's strengths include strong R&D in animal nutrition, nationwide distribution, and vertical integration. Weaknesses include dependence on the animal feed cycle and environmental compliance challenges. While Haid focuses on animal nutrition rather than edible fungi, its agricultural biotechnology expertise and distribution networks represent potential competitive overlap. The company's scale and resources could enable diversification into mushroom production if market conditions warrant.
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