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Stock Analysis & ValuationShaanxi Panlong Pharmaceutical Group Limited By Share Ltd (002864.SZ)

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Previous Close
$36.05
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
High
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)45.8127
Intrinsic value (DCF)38.818
Graham-Dodd Method17.87-50
Graham Formula8.47-77

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Shaanxi Panlong Pharmaceutical Group Limited By Share Ltd is a prominent Chinese pharmaceutical company specializing in the research, development, production, and sale of drugs, along with the Good Agricultural Practice (GAP) cultivation of medicinal materials. Founded in 1997 and headquartered in Xi'an, the company has established a comprehensive portfolio targeting key therapeutic areas including orthopedic, cardio-cerebrovascular, digestive, and respiratory conditions, as well as supplements and traditional Chinese anti-inflammatory, pediatric, gynecological, and hepatobiliary medicines. Operating within China's vast and growing healthcare sector, Panlong leverages its integrated model—from raw material cultivation to final drug production—to ensure quality control and supply chain stability. This positions the company as a significant player in the domestic market for specialty and generic drugs, catering to the increasing demand for affordable and accessible healthcare solutions. Its focus on both modern pharmaceuticals and traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) allows it to address a broad spectrum of patient needs, making it a relevant and established entity in China's pharmaceutical landscape.

Investment Summary

Shaanxi Panlong Pharmaceutical presents a mixed investment profile. On the positive side, the company demonstrates solid profitability with a net income of CNY 120.3 million on revenue of CNY 973.9 million, translating to a healthy net margin. It maintains a strong balance sheet with substantial cash reserves of CNY 1.17 billion against total debt of only CNY 150.8 million, indicating low financial leverage and significant liquidity. The company also returns capital to shareholders via a dividend. However, key risks include a negative beta of -0.374, suggesting a historical price movement that is counter-cyclical to the broader market, which may appeal to certain investors but also indicates potential idiosyncratic risks. The primary concern is the company's relatively small market capitalization of approximately CNY 3.26 billion, which may limit liquidity and analyst coverage, and its revenue base is modest compared to larger Chinese pharmaceutical peers, potentially indicating challenges in achieving significant scale and competitive intensity.

Competitive Analysis

Shaanxi Panlong Pharmaceutical's competitive positioning is defined by its regional focus and integrated business model. Its key advantage lies in the vertical integration of GAP cultivation of medicinal materials with drug manufacturing, which provides greater control over the quality and cost of raw materials, a critical factor in traditional Chinese medicine production. This is particularly valuable in the TCM segment, where sourcing authentic and high-quality herbs is a significant challenge. The company's diverse portfolio across multiple therapeutic areas, including orthopedics and cardio-cerebrovascular diseases, helps mitigate risk from dependence on any single drug category. However, Panlong's competitive position is constrained by its scale. It operates as a small-to-mid-cap player in a market dominated by giants with vastly greater R&D budgets, extensive national distribution networks, and stronger brand recognition. While its focus on Shaanxi province and surrounding regions may provide a stable local market, it limits national growth potential. The company's competitive strategy appears to be one of a niche player, leveraging its integrated supply chain and regional expertise rather than competing head-to-head with national leaders on innovation or marketing spend. Its future success will likely depend on its ability to deepen its presence in its core therapeutic areas and potentially form strategic partnerships to expand its market reach beyond its regional stronghold.

Major Competitors

  • Beijing Tongrentang Co., Ltd. (600085.SS): Beijing Tongrentang is a centuries-old, iconic brand in Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) with unparalleled brand recognition and a vast domestic and international retail network. Its strengths lie in its premium brand equity and diverse product portfolio, including patented medicines and health supplements. Compared to Panlong, Tongrentang operates on a much larger scale and has a significantly stronger consumer brand. However, its focus is heavily weighted towards TCM and high-end products, which may differ from Panlong's broader mix that includes more modern pharmaceuticals. Tongrentang's weakness could be a higher cost structure associated with its brand positioning.
  • Yunnan Baiyao Group Co., Ltd. (000538.SZ): Yunnan Baiyao is another TCM powerhouse, famous for its namesake hemostatic powder and a highly successful foray into fast-moving consumer goods (e.g., toothpaste). Its key strengths are its strong brand, particularly in trauma care, and its profitable consumer health business. It dwarfs Panlong in terms of market capitalization and revenue. Similar to Panlong, it has expertise in proprietary TCM formulas. Yunnan Baiyao's weakness may be a reliance on its core product lines, whereas Panlong has a more diversified therapeutic focus. Panlong cannot match Yunnan Baiyao's brand strength or consumer product success.
  • Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited (600332.SS): Baiyunshan is a pharmaceutical behemoth with a massive portfolio spanning TCM, chemical drugs, and a large wholesale and distribution business. Its strengths include immense scale, extensive R&D capabilities, and one of the largest distribution networks in China. It competes directly with Panlong in several areas, including respiratory and anti-inflammatory drugs, but on a vastly larger scale. A potential weakness is the complexity of managing such a diversified conglomerate. Compared to Panlong, Baiyunshan has far greater resources for R&D and national market penetration, making it a formidable competitor.
  • Kangmei Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (600518.SS): Kangmei was historically a major player in the TCM market with a significant focus on the distribution of medicinal materials and finished drugs. However, its competitive summary is severely impacted by its well-publicized accounting fraud scandal and subsequent bankruptcy restructuring. This has destroyed its credibility and market position. While it once operated in similar segments to Panlong, it currently serves as a cautionary tale rather than an active competitive threat. Its primary weakness is a complete loss of investor and consumer trust.
  • Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (002603.SZ): Yiling Pharmaceutical is a leading listed Chinese pharmaceutical company focused on patented TCM, particularly in the cardio-cerebrovascular and respiratory fields. Its strength lies in its innovative R&D, with blockbuster drugs like Lianhua Qingwen, which gained international attention during the COVID-19 pandemic. This gives it a strong position in modernized TCM. Compared to Panlong, Yiling has a more focused and successful track record in developing and marketing patented prescription drugs. A relative weakness might be a narrower product focus. Yiling represents competition in the segment of innovative TCM where Panlong aims to play.
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