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Stock Analysis & ValuationDaikokutenbussan Co.,Ltd. (2791.T)

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¥5,080.00
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Low
Valuation methodValue, ¥Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)6465.8127
Intrinsic value (DCF)10645.03110
Graham-Dodd Method6307.8424
Graham Formula7856.7855

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Daikokutenbussan Co., Ltd. is a leading Japanese discount store operator specializing in grocery retail and food wholesale. Founded in 1986 and headquartered in Kurashiki, Japan, the company serves cost-conscious consumers through its network of discount stores, offering competitively priced food products and household essentials. Operating in the Consumer Defensive sector, Daikokutenbussan plays a vital role in Japan's grocery retail industry, catering to budget-sensitive shoppers amid economic fluctuations. With a market capitalization of approximately ¥115.4 billion, the company maintains a strong regional presence, leveraging its wholesale capabilities to ensure supply chain efficiency. Daikokutenbussan's business model focuses on high-volume, low-margin sales, positioning it as a key player in Japan's value-oriented retail segment. The company's financial stability, reflected in its ¥270.1 billion revenue and ¥6.3 billion net income (FY 2024), underscores its resilience in a competitive market.

Investment Summary

Daikokutenbussan presents a stable investment opportunity within Japan's defensive retail sector, benefiting from consistent demand for discounted groceries. The company's ¥6.3 billion net income and ¥21.4 billion operating cash flow (FY 2024) demonstrate operational efficiency, while its moderate beta (0.938) suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market. However, investors should note the thin margins typical of discount retail and the ¥12.0 billion debt load against ¥12.0 billion cash reserves. The ¥33/share dividend provides modest yield appeal, but growth prospects may be limited by Japan's stagnant population and intense competition in value retail. Capital expenditures of ¥12.4 billion indicate ongoing store investments, which could support future revenue but pressure short-term cash flows.

Competitive Analysis

Daikokutenbussan competes in Japan's crowded discount grocery segment by emphasizing localized store operations and integrated wholesale capabilities. Its competitive advantage stems from direct sourcing relationships and a lean operating model that sustains low prices. However, the company lacks the national scale of major supermarket chains, confining its strength to regional markets like Okayama Prefecture. Unlike premium grocers, Daikokutenbussan's no-frills approach insulates it from economic downturns but leaves it vulnerable to price wars with larger discount chains. The company's wholesale arm provides a secondary revenue stream but faces competition from specialized distributors. While its ¥270 billion revenue suggests solid market penetration, Daikokutenbussan must continually optimize logistics to maintain margins against rising input costs. Its store footprint remains concentrated in western Japan, limiting growth opportunities compared to nationwide rivals.

Major Competitors

  • Ryohin Keikaku Co., Ltd. (MUJI) (7453.T): MUJI's strong brand recognition and minimalist private-label products compete indirectly with Daikokutenbussan's discount model. While MUJI focuses on higher-margin lifestyle goods, its grocery segment overlaps in urban markets. MUJI's global presence (1,000+ stores) dwarfs Daikokutenbussan's regional footprint, but its premium positioning makes it less resilient to economic downturns.
  • Lawson, Inc. (2651.T): Lawson's 14,000+ convenience stores nationwide pose competition in ready-to-eat food segments. Its 24/7 operating model and premium fresh food offerings contrast with Daikokutenbussan's daytime discount format. Lawson's stronger urban presence and digital initiatives (e.g., mobile payments) give it technological advantages, though higher prices limit appeal to budget shoppers.
  • Fuji Co., Ltd. (8278.T): This regional supermarket chain overlaps geographically with Daikokutenbussan in Tohoku and Kanto. Fuji's larger store format and fresh food focus differentiate its offering, but both compete on price-sensitive customers. Fuji's ¥600B+ revenue and 180+ stores indicate greater scale, though Daikokutenbussan's wholesale operations provide supply chain advantages.
  • Don Quijote Holdings Co., Ltd. (7532.T): Don Quijote's 'discount everything' model competes for similar budget-conscious shoppers. Its chaotic store experience and diverse non-food inventory differ from Daikokutenbussan's grocery focus, but both emphasize low prices. Don Quijote's ¥1T+ revenue and tourism-driven locations give it broader appeal, though less food specialization.
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