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Stock Analysis & ValuationSuper Value Co., Ltd. (3094.T)

Professional Stock Screener
Previous Close
¥792.00
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Low
Valuation methodValue, ¥Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)514.86-35
Intrinsic value (DCF)340.80-57
Graham-Dodd Methodn/a
Graham Formulan/a

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Super Value Co., Ltd. (3094.T) is a Japanese retail company operating food supermarkets and home centers across Japan. Headquartered in Ageo, the company serves consumers with a broad range of products, including fresh produce, meat, seafood, prepared foods, household goods, gardening supplies, and home improvement products. Founded in 1996, Super Value Co. caters to everyday consumer needs, positioning itself as a one-stop shop for groceries and home essentials. The company operates in the highly competitive Japanese retail sector, where efficiency, pricing, and customer loyalty play crucial roles. Despite recent financial challenges, Super Value Co. remains a relevant player in Japan's consumer defensive sector, leveraging its diversified retail model to attract budget-conscious shoppers. With a market capitalization of approximately ¥10.06 billion, the company continues to navigate Japan's evolving retail landscape, where e-commerce and convenience stores pose increasing competition.

Investment Summary

Super Value Co., Ltd. presents a high-risk investment case due to its recent financial struggles, including a net loss of ¥2.79 billion in the latest fiscal year and negative operating cash flow. The company's diluted EPS of -¥220.19 and lack of dividend payments further underscore its financial instability. However, its low beta (0.231) suggests relative resilience to market volatility, which may appeal to risk-averse investors seeking exposure to Japan's consumer defensive sector. The company's diversified retail model—spanning groceries and home goods—could provide stability if operational efficiencies improve. Investors should monitor restructuring efforts, cost-cutting measures, and potential recovery in consumer spending before considering a position. The lack of dividends and negative cash flow make this stock speculative, suitable only for investors with a high-risk tolerance.

Competitive Analysis

Super Value Co. operates in Japan's crowded retail market, competing against large supermarket chains, discount retailers, and convenience stores. Its dual focus on groceries and home improvement goods provides some differentiation, but the company lacks the scale of dominant players like Aeon or Seven & i Holdings. The firm's competitive positioning is weakened by its recent financial losses, which may limit its ability to invest in store upgrades, digital transformation, or aggressive pricing strategies. Unlike larger competitors with strong private-label offerings and loyalty programs, Super Value Co. relies on a traditional retail model, which may struggle against more innovative rivals. Its home center segment faces competition from specialized retailers like DCM Holdings, while its supermarket business competes with cost leaders like OK Corporation. To regain competitiveness, the company must streamline operations, improve supply chain efficiency, and possibly refocus on high-margin categories. Its regional presence in Ageo and surrounding areas could be a strength if leveraged for localized marketing, but nationwide competitors with stronger balance sheets pose significant threats.

Major Competitors

  • Aeon Co., Ltd. (8267.T): Aeon is Japan's largest supermarket chain, with a vast network of stores, strong private-label brands, and integrated financial services. Its scale allows for better pricing power and supplier negotiations compared to Super Value Co. However, Aeon's complexity and large footprint may lead to higher operational inefficiencies in some regions.
  • Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. (3382.T): Seven & i operates 7-Eleven convenience stores and Ito-Yokado supermarkets, offering superior convenience and urban penetration. Its diversified retail portfolio and strong logistics network give it an edge over Super Value Co. However, its focus on urban areas may leave room for regional competitors in suburban markets.
  • Lawson, Inc. (2651.T): Lawson is a leading convenience store chain with a strong presence in urban and suburban areas. Its smaller store format and 24/7 operations provide convenience that Super Value Co.'s supermarkets cannot match. However, Lawson's limited fresh food selection compared to supermarkets may be a weakness in certain consumer segments.
  • OK Corporation (3197.T): OK Corporation is a discount supermarket chain known for aggressive pricing, posing a direct threat to Super Value Co.'s value proposition. Its cost leadership strategy attracts price-sensitive shoppers, but its limited product variety compared to Super Value Co.'s home center offerings may be a drawback.
  • DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (3050.T): DCM Holdings is a major home center retailer, competing directly with Super Value Co.'s non-grocery segment. Its specialized focus on DIY and home improvement gives it stronger category expertise, but it lacks the grocery component that Super Value Co. uses to drive foot traffic.
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