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Stock Analysis & ValuationMobile Factory, Inc. (3912.T)

Professional Stock Screener
Previous Close
¥1,250.00
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Low
Valuation methodValue, ¥Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)940.82-25
Intrinsic value (DCF)975.52-22
Graham-Dodd Method785.86-37
Graham Formula608.40-51

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Mobile Factory, Inc. (3912.T) is a Tokyo-based developer of mobile and social media applications, specializing in location-based gaming and mobile content services. Founded in 2001, the company has carved a niche in Japan's Electronic Gaming & Multimedia sector, with popular titles like 'Station Memories!' and the 'Eki Dash' series. Operating in the Technology sector, Mobile Factory leverages Japan's high mobile penetration and gaming culture to deliver engaging, location-aware entertainment. The company's business model focuses on in-app purchases and mobile content monetization, capitalizing on Japan's robust mobile gaming market. With a market cap of ¥6.77 billion, Mobile Factory maintains a strong balance sheet, zero debt, and consistent profitability, positioning it as a stable player in Japan's competitive mobile gaming landscape.

Investment Summary

Mobile Factory presents a moderate investment opportunity with stable financials, including ¥699 million in net income and ¥3.11 billion in cash reserves. The company's zero debt and consistent dividend (¥37 per share) enhance its appeal to risk-averse investors. However, its low beta (0.45) suggests limited volatility but also muted growth potential. Revenue of ¥3.32 billion reflects steady performance, though competition in Japan's crowded mobile gaming market poses risks. The lack of capital expenditures may indicate limited expansion plans, potentially capping long-term upside. Investors should weigh its financial stability against sector growth constraints.

Competitive Analysis

Mobile Factory competes in Japan's highly saturated mobile gaming market, where differentiation is critical. Its competitive advantage lies in location-based gaming, a niche with relatively lower competition compared to mainstream RPGs or puzzle games. Titles like 'Station Memories!' leverage Japan's dense railway networks, offering unique gameplay tied to real-world transit. However, the company faces stiff competition from global giants and domestic studios with larger development budgets. Its lack of international presence limits growth potential compared to peers expanding overseas. Financially, Mobile Factory's zero debt and strong cash position provide stability, but its R&D spending appears low, potentially hindering innovation. The company's focus on organic growth without M&A or significant capex may restrict its ability to scale rapidly in a market dominated by free-to-play models requiring continuous content updates.

Major Competitors

  • COLOPL, Inc. (3635.T): COLOPL is a major Japanese mobile game developer with global hits like 'Shironeko Project.' Its strengths include a diverse portfolio and international reach, but it faces profitability pressures due to high development costs. Compared to Mobile Factory, COLOPL has broader market exposure but less focus on location-based gaming.
  • GungHo Online Entertainment, Inc. (3765.T): GungHo is known for 'Puzzle & Dragons,' one of Japan's top-grossing mobile games. Its strength lies in blockbuster titles with long lifespans, but reliance on a few franchises creates risk. Unlike Mobile Factory, GungHo invests heavily in global marketing, offering higher growth potential but also greater volatility.
  • Nexon Co., Ltd. (3659.T): Nexon dominates the online and mobile RPG segment with titles like 'MapleStory.' Its strengths include a strong IP library and global presence, but its complex corporate structure may deter investors. Compared to Mobile Factory, Nexon operates at a much larger scale but with higher operational complexity.
  • Bandai Namco Holdings Inc. (7832.T): Bandai Namco combines gaming with toy and anime franchises like 'Gundam' and 'Dragon Ball.' Its cross-media IP strategy is a key strength, but its gaming division competes with internal priorities. Mobile Factory lacks Bandai's IP resources but benefits from more focused management.
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